Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24

The Stars and Avalanche are set to face off at 9:30 ET on ESPN. The Avalanche will host the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Avalanche are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Stars.

DALLAS STARS VS COLORADO AVALANCHE BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:30 ET on Monday, May 13th.

WHY BET THE COLORADO AVALANCHE:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Stars.
• We like the Stars on the moneyline (+117)
• The Stars are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Can Dallas Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

As the top team in the Western Conference, the Dallas Stars have been favored in 71 of their 82 games this season. They have a record of 52-21-9 and have won two straight games. On the road, Dallas is 26-10-5 this season.

Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 6-4, and they have won two straight games as the underdog. Against other teams in the Western Conference, Dallas has gone 34-16 this season.

On the road this season, the Stars have gone 22-19 vs. the puck line, and they have an average scoring margin of +.8 goals per game. So far, Dallas has been the underdog in 11 games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 9-2.

Overall, the Stars have gone 36-46 vs. the puck line, and they have 29 wins by multiple goals. In their last ten games, Dallas has gone just 3-7 vs. the puck line, but their road puck line record in their last ten is 7-3.

This season, Dallas' games are averaging 6.5 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.2. The Stars currently have an over/under record of 42-39-1.

Across their last three road contests, Dallas has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 2 goals per game.

The Stars come into the game scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game, putting them 3rd in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 11th in the league. In terms of the Stars' offense during power plays, they are 11th in power play goals and 2nd in shorthanded goals.

Dallas' leading scorer is Wyatt Johnston. So far, he has 32 goals which is 34th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Johnston has 33 assists this season.

Colorado defense takes on the Stars ranked 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Colorado. They also are 19th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Jake Oettinger gets the start and has made 53 starts this season. His record at this point is 35-14, and his save percentage is 0.888%.

Does Colorado Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, the Avalanche have gone 31-9-1 and have been favored in 69 of their 82 games. In the Central Division, Colorado is in 3rd place and has a record of 16-10. Overall, the Avalanche have gone 50-25-7 and are 4th in the Western Conference. Over their last 10 games, Colorado has gone 6-4, and their record over their last five games is 3-2.

For the season, the Avalanche have scored 107 points and have gone 34-16 against Western Conference opponents. When favored, Colorado has gone 45-18-6, and they have gone 19-16-6 on the road. Against the Central, the Avalanche have gone 16-10.

On the season, the Avalanche have gone 40-42 against the puck line, including a mark of 24-17 at home. So far, Colorado has an average scoring differential of +.6 goals per game, and they have 36 wins by multiple goals.

Currently, the Avalanche have a puck line record of 7-3 in their last ten games and 14 one-goal losses on the year. In their last five games, Colorado has gone 3-2 against the puck line.

This season, Colorado's games have an average of 6.8 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Avalanche come in with an over/under performance of 47-32-3.

Across their last three road contests, Dallas has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 2 goals per game.

When looking at their offense, the Avalanche have an average of 3.7 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 1st in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 4th in the league. This year, the Avalanche have recorded a 34-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 13-10 record.

Colorado will be looking for a good game from Nathan MacKinnon who leads the team in scoring with 51 goals, ranking 4th in the NHL. MacKinnon also comes into the game with 89 assists.

The Avalanche defense is currently 16th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Colorado. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 19th with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Alexandar Georgiev gets the start and has made 62 starts this season. His record at this point is 38-18, and his save percentage is 0.966%.