Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24
The Browns are the favorite in their week one matchup against the Cowboys, with the game set to kick off at 4:25 ET on Sunday, September 8th. The Browns are -140 on the money line, and the point spread favors them by -2.5 points. This non-conference matchup is the first game of the season for both teams, and FOX is televising the game. The over/under line is set at 42 points.
DALLAS COWBOYS VS CLEVELAND BROWNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Cowboys +2.5
This game will be played at Cleveland Browns Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, September 8th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS COWBOYS:
- We have the Cowboys winning this one by a score of 26 to 24
- Not only do we have the Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points
Will The Cowboys Pick Up A Win On The Road?
The Cowboys’ playoff run ended in the NFC Wild Card round with a 48-32 loss to the Packers. Dallas finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, placing them 1st in the NFC East and 2nd in the NFC. They excelled at home with an 8-1 record but were just below .500 on the road at 4-5. Within the division, they went 5-1, and as favorites, they were 12-2, but winless as the underdog.
Their games last season averaged 50.2 points, with a 10-8 over/under record. Against the spread, the Cowboys were 10-8, going 10-4 as favorites and winless in four games as the underdog.
Dallas led the league in passing yards per game last season, averaging 265.8 yards per contest on 37.4 attempts. The Cowboys were the top-scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 30.1 points per game, with a significant split between their home and road performances. At home, they averaged 36.8 points per game, the best in the league, while on the road, they scored 23.3 points per game, ranking 9th.
Overall, the Cowboys were 2nd in offensive power rankings and 4th in yards per game (379.3). They excelled on third downs, converting 48.3% of their opportunities, and had the most red zone attempts in the NFL. Their rushing game was more middle of the pack, with 27.4 attempts per game and 113.5 yards per game.
For the Cowboys, their defense was one of the better units in the league last season, ranking 12th in our power rankings. They were 9th in points allowed, giving up 20.2 per game, and on the road, they allowed 20.9 points per game, the 6th best figure in the NFL. Dallas’ defense was tough to score on at home, giving up only 19.4 points per game.
On the season, the Cowboys allowed just 192.1 passing yards per game (5th best) and held quarterbacks to a collective passer rating of 78.42, which was the 6th lowest figure in the league. They also forced 26 takeaways, the 3rd best mark in the NFL.
Will The Browns Win At Home Over The Cowboys?
The Cowboys’ playoff run in the 2023 season ended in the NFC Conference Wild Card round with a 48-32 loss to the Packers. Dallas finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC East. They excelled at home with an 8-1 record but were just below .500 on the road at 4-5.
As favorites, the Cowboys went 12-2 but struggled as underdogs, going 0-4. Their games had a combined average of 50.2 points, with an over/under record of 10-8. Against the spread, Dallas was 10-8, going 10-4 as favorites and 0-4 as underdogs.
At home, the Cowboys were the top-scoring offense in the NFL last season, averaging 36.8 points per game. Overall, they led the league in scoring, averaging 30.1 points per game. Dallas was 2nd in offensive power rankings and 4th in yards per game, averaging 379.3 yards per contest. They were also 2nd in third down conversion percentage, moving the chains on 48.3% of their third downs.
Dallas led the league in passing yards per game, averaging 265.8 yards, and were also 8th in yards per play, with 5.6. The Cowboys had the most passing attempts per game, with 37.4, and on the road, they still managed to score 23.3 points per game, ranking 9th in the league.
The Cowboys’ defense was a top 10 unit last season, giving up 20.2 points per game, which ranked 9th in the league. They were also 12th in the league in terms of their overall defense power ranking. Dallas’ defense was tough on opposing quarterbacks, finishing with the 5th best passing yards allowed figure, and they also allowed the 5th fewest passing touchdowns.
Overall, the Cowboys were 7th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up just 306.1 yards per game. They also forced 26 turnovers, the 3rd best figure in the league, and had the 9th most sacks last season.