Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24
The over/under line is set at 42 points as the Seahawks are favored on the money line at -252 as they host the Broncos in week one. Kickoff is at 4:05 ET, and this one is being televised on CBS. The Broncos are +6 point underdogs on the road. This is the first game of the season for both teams.
DENVER BRONCOS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Denver Broncos +6
This game will be played at Lumen Field at 4:05 ET on Sunday, September 8th.
WHY BET THE DENVER BRONCOS:
- We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 21 to 17
- Even though we like the Seahawks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Broncos at +6
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42 points
Will The Broncos Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
The Broncos wrapped up the 2023 season with an 8-9 record, placing 3rd in the AFC West and 12th in the AFC overall. Within the division, they went 3-3, and they were tough against above .500 teams, going 4-4 straight-up. However, they struggled against weaker opponents, going 4-5 vs. teams with losing records. Denver’s over/under record was 8-9 for the season, and their games averaged 45.3 points per game.
When favored, the Broncos went 5-4 but were only 3-5 as underdogs. Their ATS record for the season was 6-10-1, with a 4-5 mark at home and a 2-5-1 record on the road. Against the spread, Denver was 4-4 at home vs. above .500 teams and 2-6-1 vs. below .500 teams.
Denver’s offense was 22nd in the league last season, averaging 21 points per game. They were 26th in yards per game, with an average of 298.4 yards, and 22nd in yards per play. The Broncos focused more on the running game, ranking 17th in rushing attempts and 19th in rushing yards, averaging 106.5 yards per game on the ground.
In the passing game, the Broncos were 27th in attempts and 24th in yards, averaging 191.9 passing yards per game. They struggled to sustain drives, ranking 31st in the percentage of first downs from passing plays.
Denver’s defense forced 26 takeaways last season, ranking 6th in the league, and had the 5th best turnover differential. However, they struggled in other areas, giving up 24.3 points per game (27th) and allowing 370.8 yards per game, which ranked 29th in the NFL. On the road, they gave up 29.6 points per game, which was 29th compared to 19.6 points per game at home (13th).
Opposing quarterbacks had success against the Broncos, finishing with a collective passer rating of 95.56 (29th). Denver’s defense also struggled to get to the quarterback, finishing near the bottom of the league in sacks, tackles for loss, and quarterback hits.
Are The Seahawks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
The Broncos were 3-3 in the AFC West and finished 8-9 overall last season, placing them 3rd in the division. Denver struggled against teams they should have beaten, going 4-5 against below .500 teams while managing a 4-4 record against above .500 opponents. Their ATS record for the season was 6-10-1, and they were 3-5 ATS as both favorites and underdogs.
At home, the Broncos were above .500, going 5-4, but they were below .500 on the road with a 3-5 record. Their over/under record for the season was 8-9, and their games averaged 45.3 combined points. Their 12th-ranked average over/under line was 43.3.
Denver’s passing game was more efficient than its overall yardage numbers would suggest, ranking 11th in passing yards per attempt. However, the Broncos were 27th in passing attempts per game and finished 24th in passing yards. They averaged 191.9 passing yards per game. Last season, the Broncos averaged 21 points per game, ranking 20th in the league, and scored 21 points per game, ranking 20th in the league.
Overall, the Broncos averaged 298.4 yards per game, placing them 26th in the NFL. They struggled to sustain drives, ranking 31st in the percentage of first downs coming from passing plays.
Denver’s defense forced 26 takeaways last season, ranking 6th in the league, but struggled in other areas. They were 21st in the defensive power rankings, giving up 24.3 points per game (27th). On the road, they allowed 29.6 points per game, which was 29th compared to 19.6 points per game at home (13th).
The Broncos allowed 370.8 yards per game, which was 29th in the NFL. Opponents converted on 33.2% of their third down attempts against Denver, the 2nd best rate in the league.