Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24
The forecast for Saturday’s matchup between the Guardians and Royals calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 70s. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 4:10 PM ET. BSGL will be televising this game, and the Royals are the slight favorite on the money line (-110).
Cleveland comes in with a record of 51-29 and they are currently on a three-game losing streak. The Guardians are 1st in the AL Central, while the Royals are 2nd in the division with an overall record of 46-38. Saturday’s over/under line is sitting at 8 runs.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -110
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 29th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a four-run 2nd inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 10-3 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -110 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Alec Marsh for the Royals, and he went six innings while giving up just one run and picked up a win. Triston McKenzie struggled on the mound for the Guardians, going just 2 1/3 innings and giving up five runs.
Kansas City got a huge performance from Vinnie Pasquantino, as he went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Salvador Perez and Hunter Renfroe each drove in two for the Royals’ offense.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 51-29 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They lead the Twins by seven games. The Guardians have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak includes the first two games of this series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Guardians are 26-9, and they have gone 25-20 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 35-16. As the underdog, the Guardians are 16-13 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 18-6-2 and have won three straight series.
The Cleveland Guardians are 45-35 against the run line this season, including a 25-20 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in 20 of 29 games as the underdog, but have failed to cover in three straight road games. The Guardians’ average run differential this season is +1.2 runs per game.
Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals has an over/under line of 8 runs. The Guardians have played to an over/under record of 38-36 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 7-7-2. Overall, 47.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with a 3.50 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Bibee’s last outing came vs. the Orioles, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 2.87 compared to 4.96 at home.
Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Guardians, going 9/25 in his last six games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .278 with 22 homers and 73 RBIs, which is 2nd in the MLB. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat for Cleveland, as he has 20 homers this season, which is 6th in the league.
As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in runs scored at 5 per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and come into the game with a team batting average of .245.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals are 46-38 overall and trail the Guardians by seven games for the AL Central lead. This season, they have gone 15-9 in divisional games. Kansas City has won three straight games, and they will look to close out the series with a win vs. the Guardians today, having already taken a 2-0 series lead.
At home, the Royals have gone 29-15 this season, and they are 17-23 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 23-12. As the underdog, the Royals are 23-26 this season. Kansas City’s overall series record is 12-13-1, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When betting the run line on the Kansas City Royals, it’s been profitable to take them at home, where they are 27-17 ATS. They’ve also been a good bet as an underdog, going 30-19 ATS. Their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 48-36 overall. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, and -3.1 in losses.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Kansas City Royals’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Royals have played 81 games this season, with 45 of them having an over/under line set at 8 or higher, which accounts for 53.6% of their games. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Royals have gone 9-8-2 on the over/under, with their overall record sitting at 35-46.
Kansas City is sending left-hander Cole Ragans to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.03 ERA. Ragans’ WHIP for the season is 1.15, and opponents are batting .214 off him this year. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 11.02 strikeouts per nine innings. Ragans’ last outing came on June 24th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
After a slow start to the season, Salvador Perez has really turned things around at the plate for the Royals, as he comes into the game with a team-high 13 home runs and a batting average of .286. However, he is just 8/37 in his last 10 games. Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .310 for the season and also has 12 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Witt Jr. has also gone deep in five straight games.
Vinnie Pasquantino and Bobby Witt Jr. are both on good power stretches right now, but Pasquantino is batting just .237 for the season, and Witt Jr. is batting .310. Pasquantino has two homers in his last 10 games, but is just 8/38 in that stretch. Witt Jr. has also gone deep in five straight games.