San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24

The Padres and Red Sox face off in an interleague matchup at 4:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston. San Diego is 45-41, and they are 2nd in the NL West, while the Red Sox are 43-38 and are 3rd in the AL East. Michael King is starting for the Padres, and the Red Sox are sending Tanner Houck to the mound.

Boston is the betting favorite at -148, while the money line odds have the Padres at +125. Saturday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and NESN will be televising this one.

BOSTON RED SOX VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -148

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 29th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

San Diego cruised to a 9-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring nine of their nine runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +134 on the money line.

Randy Vasquez only went four innings for the Padres but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Stephen Kolek came out of the bullpen for the win. Nick Pivetta had a rough outing for the Red Sox, going just four innings and giving up five earned runs on seven hits.

At the plate, Jackson Merrill and Kyle Higashioka each homered for the Padres. Merrill, Manny Machado, and Luis Arraez each had two hits and two RBIs. Jake Cronenworth also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 45-41 overall and 2nd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have won four straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. This season, they are 14-15 in divisional games.

So far, the Padres have gone 24-22 at home compared to 21-19 on the road. As the road underdog, the Padres have gone 13-11 this year, and they have won four straight as the underdog overall. San Diego has an overall series record of 15-10-3 and have won two straight series.

San Diego is a profitable team to back on the run line this season, as they are 45-41 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 28-12. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 24-10 as the underdog this season.

The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have played 85 games this season, and the over has hit in 46 of them. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season. The over has hit in 10 of their 21 games when the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in 8 straight games for the Padres.

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.75 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his 16 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.47 strikeouts per nine innings. King’s last outing came on June 23rd, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss.

As a team, the Padres are 2nd in the MLB in batting average, and they have been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league this season. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. San Diego’s team on-base percentage is 4th in the league, and they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Profar leading the team with 11 homers and Cronenworth right behind him with 12. Profar’s 55 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is also on an 11-game hitting streak. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .393 over his last seven games.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 43-38 overall and trails the Orioles and Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 8.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone 11-10 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, with both of these losses coming after dropping the final game of their series vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Red Sox are 19-22 this year and 24-16 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 22-17 and 21-21 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 12-9-5, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 23-17 compared to 14-27 at home. Boston has an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game this season, but that number drops to -0.4 runs per game at home. The Red Sox have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-17 compared to 12-27 as the favorite. In their wins, Boston has an average run margin of +4.3 runs per game, while in their losses, that number drops to -3.8 runs per game.

The Red Sox are home today against the Padres, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-38. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-11. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season. The over has hit in their last four games.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 2.18. So far this season, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .207 off the right-hander. Houck has turned in 13 quality starts and has a shutout and complete game to his name. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Houck has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4-2 record and 1.89 ERA compared to 3-3 with a 2.57 ERA at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. One thing they have done well this season is avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 25th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league. Boston’s team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all 6th in the league.

Over his last seven games, Jarren Duran has gone 13/33 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .287 with seven homers. Rafael Devers also has 17 homers this season, which is the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Devers comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last seven games.