Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24

From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have the Cubs and Brewers facing off in an NL Central matchup. The Cubs are 38-45, while the Brewers have won five straight and are 49-33 overall. Chicago is 5th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are on top of the division.

Justin Steele is starting for the Cubs, while the Brewers are going with Tobias Myers. Milwaukee is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is 8.5 runs. This one can be seen on MARQ, and the Brewers are -112 compared to the Cubs at -106.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -112

This game will be played at American Family Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 29th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Cubs series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as the slight favorites at -133 and squeaked out a 4-2 win. Chicago had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning but could only muster two runs.

Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers and went just 5 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out eight. He picked up a win in the game, while Trevor Megill got the save. Jameson Taillon had a decent outing for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.

Milwaukee’s offense was led by Jackson Chourio, who went 2/3 with a home run and four RBIs. He scored what turned out to be the game-winning run in the 5th inning. Seiya Suzuki also had a two-hit game for the Brewers.

Cubs Records & Stats

With a record of 38-45, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, just a half-game behind the Reds for 4th place. So far, they have gone just 9-18 in divisional games. The Cubs are also 11.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead.

Chicago has struggled on the road, going 16-27 this season compared to a 22-18 mark at home. As the favorite, the Cubs are 20-20 this year and 18-25 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Cubs are 9-14-2 and have dropped two straight series.

When it comes to the run line, the Cubs have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 24-19 compared to 15-25. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog (28-15) than as a favorite (11-29). Their average run differential in winning games is +2.9, while it’s -3.1 in losses.

Chicago Cubs games have hit the over 35 times and the under 45 times this season, and their games have had an average run total of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 9-8 in those games. So far this season, 27.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, while 51.8% have had lower lines.

Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 3.08. Steele has pitched well recently, turning in five straight quality starts. In his last outing, he went 7 1/3 innings vs. the Giants, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Steele has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. So far, he has allowed eight home runs and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .229, and their team on-base percentage of .311 is 12th in the league. Chicago’s offense is 17th in home runs and is also near the bottom of the league in slugging and OPS.

Christopher Morel has been the Cubs’ top power threat this season, as he has 15 homers, which is 11th in the league. However, he is batting just .199 for the season and has gone 5/24 in his last seven games. Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ are tied for 2nd on the team with 10 homers apiece, with Happ batting .229 and Suzuki at .266. Suzuki has gone 8/29 in his last seven games, and Happ is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is currently 49-33 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central, leading the Cardinals by 6.5 games. The Brewers have won five straight games, and they are 19-9 against other teams in the NL Central. Their winning streak has included taking the first game of this series vs. the Cubs.

At home, the Brewers are 26-12 this year and 23-21 on the road. As the home team, Milwaukee has won six straight games. So far, they are 28-15 as the favorite and 21-18 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 15-8-2, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Brewers are 44-38 against the run line this season, including a 19-19 record at home. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in four straight games at home. When they are the underdog, they are 26-13 against the run line, compared to 18-25 when they are the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are home against the Chicago Cubs today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers have had an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-35. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-15. So far this season, 15.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Tobias Myers is getting the start for the Brewers today and has been pitching well, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.12. So far, he has made 10 starts and three of them have been quality starts. Myers’ WHIP for the season is 1.11, and opponents are batting .214 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, he went five innings and gave up one earned run, picking up the win. Myers has won each of his last four starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.79 strikeouts and 2.77 walks.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having gone deep nine times and Adames leading the team with 13 homers. Adames’ 54 RBIs are also the best on the team and 9th in the league. However, Adames is batting just .235 for the season, and Contreras is hitting .289. Rhys Hoskins is also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, as he has hit 11 homers but is batting just .223.

Over the team’s last nine games, Brice Turang has gone 12/39 with one homer and seven RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has also gone deep twice in this stretch while batting .370. Chourio is also on a five-game hitting streak.