Houston Astros vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24

At 4:10 PM ET, the Astros and Mets face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-101). The Astros’ money line odds are at -118, and the over/under line is currently 8 runs.

Both teams are 40-39, but the Astros are 2nd in the AL West, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East. WPIX is carrying this one on TV, and Framber Valdez is starting for the Astros. The Mets have won four straight, while the Astros have gone 40-41 overall.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -118

This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 29th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS METS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 7-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -110.

Jose Quintana only went four innings for the Mets but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Dedniel Nunez got the win out of the bullpen. Ronel Blanco had a rough outing for the Astros, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Jeff McNeil and Tyrone Taylor each homered for the Mets, while Pete Alonso scored three times and drove in two runs. Francisco Lindor also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is 40-41 overall, and they are 5.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Astros are 2nd in the AL West and have gone 15-12 in divisional games. The Astros have won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 31-32 when favored this year.

At home, the Astros have gone 24-19 this year, and they are just below .500 at 16-22 on the road. Houston lost the series opener vs. the Mets, and this came after winning eight straight games. Currently, they are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Astros are favored, they are 28-35 vs. the run line this season, but they have won five straight vs. the run line. Their overall run line record is 38-43, and their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game. They are 16-22 vs. the run line on the road this season, where they have a run differential of -0.6 runs per game.

The Astros are on the road facing the Mets today, with the O/U line set at 8 runs. Houston has a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 29-48. The average O/U line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 3-7-2. So far this season, 65.4% of their games have had O/U lines set above 8 runs.

Framber Valdez will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Orioles, he gave up just six hits and issued two walks. Looking back further, Valdez has finished with a decision in each of his last three outings, going 2-1 in that span. Valdez has a record of 6-5 this season and an ERA of 3.68. Opponents have a batting average of .242 vs. Valdez this season. He has made eight quality starts this year.

For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, averaging .264 as a team. Houston also has the best team slugging percentage and has the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jose Altuve has been hot of late, hitting .341 over his last nine games, while Yordan Alvarez has also been swinging the bat well, going 9/27 in his last seven games. Alvarez is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 19 homers, which is 7th best in the league, and is batting .266 for the season.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 40-39 overall this season and have won four straight games, and they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 11-10 in divisional games. New York’s four-game winning streak has come at home, and they are 21-23 at home this year.

As the Mets have been good as the underdog this year, putting together a record of 19-20 in such games. New York’s overall record as the favorite is 21-19. They have also been good in series lately, with an overall series record of 13-12-3 and having won six straight series.

The Mets have been a profitable run line bet on the road this season, going 21-14. They have also been a solid run line bet as underdogs, going 24-15. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5, while their average run differential in losses is -3.2.

The Mets have been a solid over team this season, with a 41-36 O/U record. They have gone over the total in three straight games and have a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are 9-4 O/U.

New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.81. Looking back at his last outing, Megill had a rough time vs. the Cubs, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Padres and allowing just two earned runs in five innings of work. Megill has made seven starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.43. Opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander this season.

Francisco Alvarez has been on fire for the Mets of late, going 16/29 in his last nine games with three homers and 10 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/33 with five homers in his last nine games. Nimmo’s five homers in that stretch has him 3rd on the team for the season, while Pete Alonso is the team’s top power threat, sitting 9th in the league with 17 homers.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run-hitting clubs in the league and are also among the league leaders in team on-base percentage and slugging percentage.