Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the White Sox and Red Sox facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for Friday’s matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET. NESN is carrying this one on TV, and the Red Sox are the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -273. The White Sox are +226 on the money line, and they will be looking to pull off the upset with a record of 32-109. Chicago is 5th in the AL Central, and Boston is 3rd in the AL East.
The forecast for Friday’s matchup calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Nick Pivetta is set to start for the Red Sox, while the White Sox are going with Davis Martin. Boston comes in with a record of 70-70 and has lost five straight. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 6th.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
White Sox Records & Stats
Nicky Lopez and the White Sox are coming off a big 8-1 win over the Orioles to close out their series. Chicago was the +297 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was a three-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Orioles could only score one run, which came in the bottom of the first.
Jonathan Cannon got the start for the White Sox, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on five hits and issued just one walk. The White Sox’s offense was carried by Nicky Lopez, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Chicago heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox with the worst record in the AL at 32-109. They are also 48.5 games behind in the AL Central and are just 8-38 against other teams in their division. The White Sox have dropped nine straight series and are just 6-38-2 in series this year.
At home, the White Sox are only 18-54 while going 14-55 on the road. They have really struggled as the underdog this year, going 27-106 compared to 5-3 as the favorite. So far, they have dropped 9 of 10 and lost their most recent series vs. the Orioles.
The White Sox have a run line record of 57-84 this season, including a mark of 29-43 at home and 28-41 on the road. They have been the underdog in 133 of their 141 games, going 52-81 in those contests. Their average run differential this season is -2.1 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line for the Chicago White Sox game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 8.5 runs. The White Sox have played in 33 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 17-21. Overall, the White Sox have played in 133 games this season, and the average combined run total in those games is 8.3 runs.
Right-hander Davis Martin is still looking for his first win of the season, as he comes into the game with a record of 0-3 and ERA of 3.62. Martin has made six starts and one of them was a quality start. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Martin has given up at least two homers in three of them. Opponents are batting .244 off Martin this season. His ERA at home is 3.49 compared to 4.66 on the road.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in home runs and are averaging just 3.1 runs per game. This is also the worst mark in the league. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .220.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the team’s top home run hitters this season, but both are batting under .240 for the season. Benintendi has been better of late, hitting .290 over his last 10 games. Paul DeJong and Martín Maldonado are both on five-game hitting streaks.
Red Sox Records & Stats
The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with an 8-3 loss. Boston was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored four times in the first.
Tanner Houck took the loss, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Red Sox’s offense scored their only three runs in the 3rd inning. Jarren Duran, Enmanuel Valdez, and Connor Wong each had two hits. Duran also scored a run and drove in one.
Boston kicks off their series vs. the White Sox having dropped five straight games, and they are currently at .500 with a record of 70-70. In the AL East, they are in 3rd place, 10.5 games behind the Orioles. Their division record is 18-18 this season.
At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 this year and 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 37-31 and 33-39 as the underdog. The Red Sox’s overall series record is 21-18-6, but they have dropped two straight series.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been better to take them on the road, where they are 40-31. They have a run line record of 24-45 at home, where they have a run differential of -0.7 runs per game. They are 24-44 against the run line as the favorite, and 40-32 as the underdog.
When the Boston Red Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. This season, the over/under record in games with an 8.5 line is 24-14, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the White Sox at home. Pivetta has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 5-10 with an ERA of 4.53. Looking at his overall numbers, Pivetta has a WHIP of 1.13 and has allowed a total of 24 home runs. In his last outing, Pivetta took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Pivetta has made 13 appearances on the road, coming away with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 5.32. At home, his record is 2-5 with a 5.86 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in team batting average (.256), and they are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, sitting 7th in the league in homers. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. One thing that has really helped their offense is that they are the league’s best team in terms of BABIP.
Jarren Duran has been hot of late, going 14/39 in his last 10 games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .294 and is 2nd on the team with 72 RBIs. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat, with 28 homers and 81 RBIs. Devers is also batting .277 for the season.