Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24

At 7:05 PM ET, the Rays and Orioles face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -135. The Rays are +114 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Shane Baz is starting for the Rays, and he is facing off against Dean Kremer for the Orioles. The Rays are 4th in the AL East with a record of 69-71, while the Orioles are leading the division with an overall record of 81-60.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -135

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, September 6th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Twins scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Tampa Bay was the +132 underdog at home going into the game.

Taj Bradley put together a good start for the Rays, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out 10. However, the Rays couldnjson’t close things out, and Bradley took the loss. Jonny DeLuca was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.

Tampa Bay heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Orioles with a record of 69-71, which has them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by 11.5 games for the division lead and are 14.0 games out of the AL Wild Card. The Rays are just below .500 at home, going 37-38, and they are one game over .500 on the road at 32-33.

The Rays have gone just 17-23 in divisional games this year, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games overall. As the road underdog, Tampa Bay has put together a mark of 21-22 this season, and their overall record as the underdog is 34-41. They have been slightly better as the favorite, going 35-30.

When the Rays are the underdog, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, as they are 47-28 against the run line in those games. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog, and their average run margin in those games is -0.4.

The Tampa Bay Rays are playing on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.2 runs per game. The Rays have played 63 over games and 69 under games this season, and when the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 16-18-1.

Through nine starts, Shane Baz has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.49. In his 49 innings of work, Baz has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just two earned runs in five innings of work. Baz has been pitching well recently, as he has given up two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 3.67 compared to 7.53 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed five homers. Baz has a record of 1-1 on the road this year and an ERA of 3.24 compared to 4.17 at home.

Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, batting .278 with 13 homers and a team-leading 62 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 7/17 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. Christopher Morel comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .197 for the season. However, he does have 21 homers, which is the best mark on the team.

Overall, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, home runs, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .231.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a tough 8-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the heavy favorite at -371. Things started off well for the Orioles, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the White Sox scored three times in the top of the first.

Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on eight hits. The Orioles also issued three walks and hit a batter. Gunnar Henderson had a good day at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and scoring the team’s only run.

Baltimore is 81-60 overall and leads the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles are coming off winning their series vs. the White Sox, taking two of three games.

At home, the Orioles are 41-31 this season and have gone 40-29 on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore has gone 66-45 and 15-15 as the underdog. The Orioles’ overall series record is 24-13-7, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Orioles, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 42-27 compared to 35-37 at home. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 21-9 against the run line compared to 56-55 as the favorite.

When the Baltimore Orioles are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Orioles’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 76-54. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-7-3. Overall, 61.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Right-hander Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.51. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is 1.30, and opponents are batting .226 off him this year. The last time he took the mound, Kremer finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts and gave up just one earned run in each of those outings. So far, he has allowed 15 homers at home and 3.75 walks per nine innings compared to 4.94 on the road.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are also the top team in terms of isolated power. Overall, they are 3rd in runs per game, averaging 5 runs per contest. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Their team batting average of .252 is 7th in the league, and they are also the top team in slugging percentage.

Anthony Santander has been the Orioles’ top power threat this season, as his 39 home runs is 3rd in the league. He is also 9th in the league in RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has gone 8/24 over his last six games, with two homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .280.