Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24

Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins on Friday, as they host the Phillies, who are 84-56 and have won five straight. However, the Marlins are +191 underdogs on the money line, with the Phillies at -231. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

BSFL will be televising this NL East matchup that is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, FL.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +191

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 6th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to a 5-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -237 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez only went five innings for the Phillies but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. As for the Marlins, Adam Oller got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Bryson Stott and Kody Clemens each had two RBIs for the Phillies’ offense. Stott, Andrew McCutchen, and J.T. Realmuto each scored two runs for Philadelphia. On the other side, Nick Fortes had a two-hit game for the Marlins.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 84-56, the Phillies lead the Mets by eight games for the NL East lead. The Phillies have won five straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. This season, they have gone 24-15 in divisional matchups.

Philadelphia has been really good at home this season, going 47-25. On the road, they are 37-31 and have won five straight road games. As the favorite, the Phillies are 71-41 this season, and they are 25-19 as the favorite on the road. The Phillies’ overall series record is 24-16-6, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

The Phillies have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 36-32. They have covered in five straight road games and are 2-0 against the run line in their last two games as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while they have a run line record of 69-71 overall.

The Phillies are on the road against the Marlins today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 64-69. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-14. In their 115 games this season, 103 have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 73.6% of their games. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler will be on the mound for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Wheeler has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 13-6 with a 2.63 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Wheeler has a WHIP of .98 and has turned in 21 quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 2.53, compared to 3.84 on the road. In his last outing, he didn’t allow a run and gave up just four hits in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into the game, the Phillies are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average at .258 and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. As a team, the Phillies are also 8th in home runs and 8th in isolated power.

Kyle Schwarber has been a key power bat for the Phillies this season, as he is 8th in the league with 32 homers. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has four homers in his last nine games. Schwarber’s 89 RBIs are tied for the team lead with Alec Bohm and is also 10th in the league.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 52-88 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 32 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 14-28 in divisional matchups. The Marlins are looking to bounce back in game two vs. the Phillies after dropping the series opener.

At home, the Marlins are 26-46 compared to 26-42 on the road. This season, the Marlins are just 4-14 when favored and 48-74 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 11-25-8 this year.

When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet on the road this season, going 35-33 compared to 30-42 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 63-59 compared to just 2-16 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.8 in losing games.

It’s been a high-scoring season for the Miami Marlins, as their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 75-61, with an average line of 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over is 20-8. In fact, 73.6% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. However, the under has hit in their last three games.

Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start vs. the Giants, Cabrera went 5 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, he has given up at least two homers in three of them. Cabrera’s ERA for the season is 5.33, along with a record of 3-6. Opponents are batting .230 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made 16 starts, three of which were quality starts.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. Miami’s team batting average of .240 is 15th in the league, and they have the 16th fewest strikeouts in the league. The Marlins’ team on-base percentage of .296 is 19th in the league.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are 14th in the league. He is also 1st on the team with 60 RBIs. Burger is batting .247 for the season, and Jesús Sánchez is right behind him with 17 homers and 58 RBIs. Sánchez is also on a five-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Derek Hill has gone 4/14 in his last four games, with two homers and three RBIs.