Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24
The Reds and Mets face off in an NL matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field in New York. The money line odds have the Mets at -181 compared to the Reds at +150. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
Cincinnati will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak, as they are 68-73 overall and 4th in the NL Central. The Mets are 7-0 in their last seven games and 76-64 overall, which has them 2nd in the NL East. SNY will be televising Friday’s matchup.
CINCINNATI REDS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +150
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 6th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS METS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds’s offense was carried by Ty France in their most recent game vs. the Astros, a 1-0 win. France went 2/3 with a homer and scored the team’s only run. The Reds really needed his big game, as they only had one other hit. Jake Fraley also had a good game, going 2/2 with a run scored.
Rhett Lowder got the start for the Reds, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out three. Tony Santillan got the win out of the bullpen, and Alexis Diaz picked up the save.
Cincinnati is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 68-73 overall this season. In the NL Central, they trail the Brewers by 13.5 games and are 4th in the division. So far, they are 20-23 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 and have gone 32-34 on the road. This season, they have been good as the underdog, putting together a record of 35-40, which includes a mark of 20-28 on the road. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 17-25-3 this year.
When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s been more profitable to do so on the road this season, where they are 41-25 compared to 35-40 at home. They’ve been especially good as the underdog, going 49-26 against the run line in those games, including covering in eight straight. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it’s -3.2 in losses.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 66-68 on the season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Reds have an 8-10 record. The majority of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, with 117 out of 141 games (83.0%) having higher lines.
Fernando Cruz will be looking to pitch better on the road today as he faces the Mets and comes in with a record of 2-4 and 6.67 ERA on the road. Overall, he is 3-8 with a 4.99 ERA and WHIP of 1.35. Cruz has made 63 appearances this season to go along with two starts. In his 57 2/3 innings of work, he has a BB/9 figure of 4.68 compared to 14.05 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently pitched on August 31st, where he went two innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cruz has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as his 63 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. He also leads the team with 22 home runs and is batting .263 for the season. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds home run leaderboard, but both players are hitting below .235 for the season.
Jonathan India has struggled at the plate for the Reds of late, hitting just .235 over his last nine games. However, Ty France has been hot, going 16/35 in his last 10 games. France has also driven in five runs over this stretch. France is currently on a three-game hitting streak, as are Tyler Stephenson, Jake Fraley, and Nick Martini.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with an 8-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Mets responded with four runs of their own. New York went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets, going four innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Jesse Winker was hot at the plate, going 1/3 with a homer and four RBIs.
The Mets are currently eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they are 76-64 overall. New York is on a seven-game winning streak, which includes taking the final three games of their series vs. the Red Sox and winning the first four games of this streak vs. the Nationals. So far this season, they have gone 22-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 38-33 this year and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 49-35 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won three straight series and has an overall series record of 24-16-8 this season.
The Mets are 70-70 against the run line this season, including a 31-40 mark at home. They have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game overall, and they have covered the run line in six straight games when favored. They are 37-47 against the run line as the favorite and 33-23 as the underdog.
The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 70-66, and the over has hit in two straight games. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 16-15 on the season. Overall, 70% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Sean Manaea will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the White Sox, he went seven innings and gave up just two hits. Looking back over his last four outings, Manaea has given up three earned runs in three of them. His ERA for the season is 3.35, along with a record of 11-5. Out of his 27 starts, Manaea has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 3.23 walks per nine innings.
Francisco Lindor has been on a tear for the Mets, hitting .375 over his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. He is also on a 15-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .274 with 30 homers and 84 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as he is 9th in the league with 31 homers. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/24 in his last six games.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in the league in homers and are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249 and have the league’s 8th best OPS.