BYU Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
ESPN will be handling the broadcast as the Arizona State Sun Devils host the BYU Cougars in a week 13 matchup. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET from Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. The over/under line is at 48.5 points, and the Sun Devils are -3.5 point favorites. The Cougars are 9-1 this season, while Arizona State comes in at 8-2.
BYU COUGARS VS ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: BYU Cougars +3.5
This game will be played at Mountain America Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE BYU COUGARS:
- We have the BYU Cougars winning this one by a score of 21 to 20
- Not only do we have the BYU Cougars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points
Will The BYU Cougars Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
With a 9-1 record, BYU is a lock for bowl eligibility and holds a 26.9% chance of winning the Big 12. They also have the 14th best odds of making the CFB playoff at 39.5%. The Cougars are 5-0 on the road and 3-1 at home this season.
BYU has gone 6-3 against the spread, with a +12.1 average scoring margin. They are 4-1 ATS on the road and have a 2-2 mark at home. As favorites, they are 2-3 ATS, but they are 4-0 ATS as underdogs.
The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. BYU’s games have averaged 51.1 points, and their average over/under line is 49.2 points. Six of their games have had higher totals than this week’s line, while three have been lower.
BYU’s offense is averaging 31.6 points per game, placing them 31st in the nation heading into week 13. They are ranked 35th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack leads the way, averaging 175.7 yards per game on 36.5 attempts.
Jake Retzlaff has thrown for 2,281 yards, with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and his passer rating is 92. BYU ranks 54th in passing attempts per game. LJ Martin leads the rushing game with 501 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Chase Roberts has 657 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
BYU’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 21st nationally by allowing just 19.5 points per game. In their recent game against Kansas, they gave up only 17 points but still lost 17-13. The defense allowed 249 total yards, including 80 rushing yards on 30 attempts and 169 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against BYU, posting a passer rating of just 57.4, the 5th-lowest in the country. The defense has allowed an average of 176.1 passing yards per game (25th) and a completion rate of 53.6% (12th). On the ground, BYU is giving up 140.6 rushing yards per game on 32.1 attempts.
Are The Arizona State Sun Devils Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Arizona State enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record and a perfect 5-0 mark at home. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have a 17.2% chance of winning the Big 12. The Sun Devils also hold the 18th-best odds to make the CFB playoff at 15.7%.
Arizona State is 5-0 as the favorite this season and has an average scoring margin of +8 points per game. They’ve also been strong against the spread, going 8-2 overall and 5-0 at home.
Their over/under record is 5-5, with an average line of 53.4 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, and their games have averaged 53.6 points per contest.
Arizona State’s offense is averaging 30.8 points per game, placing them 35th in the nation. However, they rank 18th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their strength lies in their run game, with 40.6 rushing attempts per game, averaging 196.9 yards on the ground.
Cam Skattebo leads the rushing attack with 1,078 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,906 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102.
Arizona State’s defense has given up an average of 22.8 points per game this season, ranking 40th nationally. They’ve allowed 216.3 passing yards per game and 126.1 rushing yards, ranking 83rd and 49th, respectively. Opposing quarterbacks have a 76 passer rating and a 59.7% completion rate against them.
In their recent game against Kansas State, Arizona State’s defense allowed 14 points but gave up 421 total yards, including 258 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the win.