UCF Knights vs West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
Kick-off for this UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers matchup is set for 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd, with ESNU handling the TV broadcast. The game is being played at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown. UCF comes in with a 4-6 record, while West Virginia is 5-5. The over/under line is 64.5 points, and UCF is the -3-point favorite on the road.
UCF KNIGHTS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +3
This game will be played at Milan Puskar Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS:
- We have the West Virginia Mountaineers winning this one by a score of 36 to 33
- Not only do we have the West Virginia Mountaineers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
- Look for this game to go over the line of 64.5 points
Will The UCF Knights Pick Up A Win On The Road?
UCF enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, facing West Virginia. They are ranked 36th in our CFB power rankings and have a 39.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Knights are 2-3 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.
UCF’s ATS record is 4-5, and they’ve been favored in five of their ten games. Their average scoring margin is +6.6 points per game, and they are 2-3 against the spread as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 64.5, the highest they’ve seen this season. UCF’s over/under record is 7-2, with their games averaging 59.4 points and an average line of 56.8 points.
UCF’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, ranking 3rd in the nation with 262.8 yards per game. They are 6th in rushing attempts, averaging 43.8 per game. RJ Harvey has been the standout performer, rushing for 1,328 yards and scoring 19 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. UCF is 27th in scoring, with 33 points per game, and we have them 32nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.
KJ Jefferson leads the passing game with 1,012 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 96, and UCF ranks 91st nationally in passing yards per game, averaging 201.8. Kobe Hudson is the top receiver with 623 yards and 3 touchdowns.
UCF’s defense has allowed 26.4 points per game this season, including 35 points in their recent 35-31 loss to Arizona State. They gave up 275 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, while holding Arizona State to 124 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 239.5 passing yards per game against UCF, ranking them 118th nationally. The Knights have allowed a 66.6% completion rate, while their run defense ranks 38th, giving up 117.6 rushing yards per game on 31.5 attempts, the 29th fewest in the country.
Will The West Virginia Mountaineers Win At Home Over The UCF Knights?
West Virginia comes into Week 13 with a 5-5 record, ranked 54th in our power rankings. They have a 65.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Big 12. At home, they are 1-4, while they’ve gone 3-1 on the road this season.
Their ATS record stands at 4-5, with a 1-4 mark at home and 3-1 on the road. West Virginia has been favored in just two games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -0.4 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, higher than any other game this season. West Virginia’s over/under record is 6-3, with an average line of 56.2 points and an average total of 59.6 points per game.
West Virginia’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, averaging 200.1 yards per game on the ground, ranking 27th nationally. They are 20th in rushing attempts, with 39.5 per game. Jahiem White leads the team with 639 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, the Mountaineers are 43rd in scoring, with 29.6 points per game, and they are 34th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.
Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,589 yards, with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 77. West Virginia ranks 95th in passer rating nationally. They are 89th in passing yards, averaging 202.3 per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 40.2%. Hudson Clement leads the receivers with 454 yards and three touchdowns.
West Virginia’s defense struggled in their latest game, giving up 49 points in a 49-35 loss to Baylor. They allowed 516 total yards, including 329 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while also surrendering 187 rushing yards and four rushing scores.
On the season, West Virginia is allowing 30 points per game. Opponents are averaging 269.6 passing yards per game, completing 64.2% of their passes. The Mountaineers rank 62nd in the nation against the run, giving up 134.4 rushing yards per game on 33.6 attempts per contest.