Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24

From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have the Red Sox and Rangers facing off in an AL matchup. Sunday’s matchup is set for 2:35 PM ET, and NESN is carrying the TV rights for the Red Sox.
The over/under line for Sunday’s game is at 8 runs, and the Rangers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131. The Red Sox are +112, and Nick Pivetta is starting for them, while Nathan Eovaldi goes for the Rangers. In the AL East, the Red Sox are 3rd, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West.
BOSTON RED SOX VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +112
This game will be played at Globe Life Field at 2:35 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS RANGERS:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rangers vs Red Sox series. Texas went into the matchup as slight favorites at -114 and squeaked out a 7-4 win. The Rangers offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out seven times, but still picked up a three-run win.
Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Red Sox could only muster three more runs in the 4th inning. As for the Rangers, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th and tacked on three insurance runs in the 7th. As a result, the Red Sox didn’t score another run after the 4th inning.
Cody Bradford got the start for the Rangers, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Jose Leclerc got the win out of the bullpen, and Kirby Yates got the save. Tanner Houck had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six runs.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is on the road today vs. the Rangers with an overall record of 58-51, which has them 3rd in the AL East. They trail the Yankees by 6.5 games for the AL East lead and are 14-13 in divisional matchups. The Red Sox are looking to win the series today, and they are 17-13-5 in series this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 27-28 this year, and they have gone 31-23 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 32-22, and 26-29 as the underdog. Boston is 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When betting on the Red Sox, it’s been a good idea to take the run line as they are 51-58 on the run line this season. They have been better on the run line on the road, going 30-24. Boston has a positive run differential on the road, outscoring opponents by an average of 0.9 runs per game.
The Red Sox are on the road against the Rangers today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-48. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-6-3. Overall, 65.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their games have gone over the total in their last two contests.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Rangers on the road. Pivetta has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on 10 hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Pivetta has a WHIP of 1.17 and is averaging 11.12 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 17 homers and is coming off a start in which he allowed two homers.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run hitting teams and have the 2nd best team batting average in the majors. One of the keys to their offense has been their ability to limit strikeouts, as they are 26th in the league in strikeouts.
Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 25 home runs are the best mark on the team and 8th best in the MLB. He is also 10th in the league with 70 RBIs. Devers has been even better of late, going 18/37 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is currently on a five-game hitting streak.
Rangers Records & Stats
Texas is 53-58 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by 5.5 games. So far, they are 13-16 against other AL West teams. The Rangers have been better at home, going 30-24 compared to 23-34 on the road.
The Rangers have dropped two straight series and are 15-19-1 in series this year. As the home favorite, Texas has gone 25-16 this year, and they are 35-27 overall as the favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Rangers are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
At 48-63, the Rangers have been a losing proposition on the run line this season, with their average run differential at -0.1 runs per game. They’ve been a bit better at home, going 24-30 ATS, compared to 24-33 on the road. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 26-23 ATS, compared to 22-40 as the favorite.
The Texas Rangers have been on a hot streak of overs lately, with the over hitting in their last eight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8 runs per game. Overall, the over has hit in 49 of their 107 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game.
Nathan Eovaldi will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Cardinals. In that start, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back further, Eovaldi has turned in a quality start in two of his last three outings. For the season, he has made 19 starts, and his record is 8-4 with a 3.38 ERA. Eovaldi has a WHIP of 1.04 and has allowed a total of 15 home runs this year. At home, his ERA is 2.93 compared to 5.25 on the road.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their home run and batting average numbers are also just around the league average. One area where they have been strong is in avoiding strikeouts, as they are 7th in the league in this category. However, their team OPS of .692 is just 19th in the league.
Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/34 in his last eight games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .278 with a team-high 21 homers. Marcus Semien is also near the top of the league in home runs, as he has 16 long balls while batting .246.