Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24
The White Sox and Twins will face off in an AL Central matchup at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is taking place at Target Field in Minneapolis and the White Sox are the heavy underdogs on the money line (+234). The Twins are currently on a three-game winning streak, and their overall record of 61-48 has them second in the AL Central.
Chicago will be looking to snap their 19-game losing streak, and they are currently 27-86 overall. Sunday’s forecast in Minneapolis calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s. NBCS will be televising this matchup.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the White Sox by a score of 6-2. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the White Sox and struck out five more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -280 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Bailey Ober for the Twins and Garrett Crochet for the White Sox. Ober went seven innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs, while Crochet lasted just four innings and gave up one earned run on one hit.
Minnesota’s two homers came from Ryan Jeffers and Max Kepler. Jeffers, Brooks Lee, Austin Martin, and Willi Castro each had two RBIs for the Twins’ offense.
White Sox Records & Stats
With an overall record of 27-86, the White Sox are 41.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The White Sox have lost 19 straight games, and they are just 8-33 against other AL Central teams this year. Chicago’s overall series record is 6-27-2, and they have dropped eight straight series.
Chicago has struggled mightily on the road this year, going 10-46 compared to 17-40 at home. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 10-37, and they are 17-49 in night games. As the underdog, the White Sox are just 22-83 this year, and they have dropped 18 straight games as the underdog.
When the White Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 23-33, and their average run margin is -2.6. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and have gone 3-5 against the run line when favored.
Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-57. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-14. Overall, 20.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 54.9% of their games have had lines set below 8.5 runs.
Chris Flexen is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision vs. the Royals. In that start, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking further back, Flexen has finished with a loss in three straight outings. His record for the season is 2-10, and he has an ERA of 5.13. Opponents are batting .264 off Flexen this year. Out of his 21 starts, Flexen has seven quality starts and is averaging 6.41 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up 18 homers and is averaging 3.45 walks per nine innings.
Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. Not only is this the worst mark in the league, but they also have the league’s worst team batting average at just .216. The White Sox also have the worst on-base percentage and OPS in the league. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks.
Andrew Vaughn has been the White Sox’s top power threat this season, with 13 home runs, but he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 2/15 in his last four games. Luis Robert Jr. has also struggled this season, batting just .214. However, he does have 12 homers, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 61-48 overall and 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 5.5 games. The Twins have won three straight games, and these have come after dropping four in a row. In divisional games, the Twins are 23-14 this season.
So far, the Twins have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 31-21 at home and 30-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 49-27 this year and 12-21 as the underdog. Minnesota has won three straight at home, and their overall series record is 20-12-2.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 53-56 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 31-26 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last three home games and are on a four-game run line winning streak when favored.
The Minnesota Twins are hosting the Chicago White Sox today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 56-50, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-15. So far this season, 66 of their games have had over/under lines set below 8.5 runs, which accounts for 60.6% of their games.
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.75 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is 1.18, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. One of those outings was a win, and the other two were no-decisions. Per nine innings, Woods Richardson has 7.69 strikeouts and 2.76 walks.
Over his last seven games, Byron Buxton has three home runs but is just 6/25 overall. For the season, he is batting .274 with 14 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Catcher Ryan Jeffers has also been a big power threat, as he leads the Twins with 16 homers and is 6th in the MLB in RBIs. Jeffers is batting just .233, but his 51 RBIs are the best on the team.
As a team, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 9th in homers and 4th in isolated power.