New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Sunday, and he is facing off against Griffin Canning and the Angels. This interleague matchup is set to get started at 4:07 PM ET from Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, CA. The Mets are 3rd in the NL East, and the Angels are 4th in the AL West.
New York is favored on the money line, and the odds have them at -149 compared to the Angels at +126. Sunday’s over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSW.
NEW YORK METS VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -149
This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim at 4:07 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS ANGELS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Angels series. New York had a four-run 7th inning but could only muster one run in the 9th, as the Angels picked up a 5-4 win at home. Heading into the game, the Angels were at +109 on the money line.
Jose Soriano started for the Angels and went six innings while giving up just two hits and striking out six. He didn’t give up a run in the game and picked up a win. Matt Moore came out of the bullpen for the win, and Ben Joyce got the save.
David Peterson had a good outing for the Mets, giving up just two earned runs in six innings of work. He finished the game with four strikeouts but took the loss. Huascar Brazoban got the start and gave up four earned runs in just three innings of work.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 58-52 overall and trail the Phillies by seven games in the NL East. New York is 20-16 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets will be on the road today vs. the Angels, and they are 28-23 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 36-29 and 22-23 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-13-7, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games. The Mets have an overall record of 36-29 as the favorite.
When betting on the Mets this season, the run line has been a good play. They are 53-57 overall, but 28-23 on the run line on the road. They have a positive run differential on the road, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.5.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is the highest of the season for the New York Mets, as their games have averaged exactly 9.5 runs per game this year. The Mets have played in just 3 games with a higher over/under line this season, and they are 5-4 in games with a 9.5 run line. Overall, the Mets have played in just 7 games with an over/under line of 9 or higher this season, and their over/under record is 58-48 on the year.
New York is sending Jose Quintana to the mound today, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Quintana has actually won his last two starts and has pitched well at home this year, coming in with an ERA of 3.70 compared to 5.97 on the road. Overall, he is 6-6 with a 3.89 ERA and has made eight quality starts. Quintana’s ERA for the season was 5.75 before this recent stretch of good outings.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the MLB in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .250. New York’s team OPS of .743 is also 7th in the league.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor having 22 homers and Alonso at 23. Lindor is hitting .255 for the season, and Alonso’s batting average is just .242. However, Alonso has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/30 in his last eight games, with three homers. Lindor is on a three-game hitting streak and Mark Vientos has a six-game streak going.
Angels Records & Stats
With a record of 48-63, the Angels are 4th in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 10.5 games. So far, they have gone 17-18 in divisional matchups. The Angels will be hosting the Mets today, and they are 25-35 at home this season.
As the underdog, the Angels have gone 42-51 this season, compared to just 6-12 as the favorite. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 10-23-2, and they have dropped two straight series. The Angels are 4-6 in their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Mets in their series.
When betting the run line, the Angels have been a solid play on the road, going 29-22, compared to 32-28 at home. They have been an underdog in most games, going 56-37 against the run line, as opposed to 5-13 when favored. Their overall run differential is -0.9 runs per game, but it’s -0.8 at home. Their average run differential in wins is +3.0, but in losses, it’s -3.8.
The Angels have played 99 games with over/under lines set lower than 9.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 55-52 on the season. They have played 2 games with over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, and their record in those games is 4-6. Overall, the average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs.
Through 22 starts, Griffin Canning has a record of 3-10 and an ERA of 5.25. He has made five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Rockies, he gave up two homers. Canning has allowed at least one homer in each of his last four outings. The right-hander’s ERA for the season is 4.93 at home compared to 6.61 on the road. Opponents are batting .264 off Canning this year.
So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Angels are batting .235, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .304 is 16th. The team’s 113 home runs is 19th in the league.
Los Angeles has three players who are tied for the team’s longest hitting streak, with Taylor Ward, Matt Thaiss, and Jo Adell all coming into the game on three-game hitting streaks. Ward is the team’s leading home run hitter, with 16 homers, but he is batting just .228. Zach Neto and Logan O’Hoppe are also near the top of the league in home runs, with 14 and 16, respectively.