Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/7/24
Chris Sale and the Braves head to Nationals Park in Washington, DC, to take on the Nationals, who are 27-35. Jake Irvin is slated to start for the Nationals, and they are the slight underdog on the money line (+171). The Braves are the betting favorite (-203), and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Nationals are 4th.
Friday’s forecast in Washington calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 80s. BSSE will be televising this NL East matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. First pitch is set for 6:45 PM ET, and the Nationals will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +171
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, June 7th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Atlanta picked up a 5-2 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Braves offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals got on the board with two runs in the 6th.
Reynaldo Lopez started for the Braves and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Mitchell Parker only went seven innings for the Nationals but gave up just three hits and two earned runs.
Marcell Ozuna and Adam Duvall each homered for the Braves, while Lane Thomas went deep for the Nationals. Ozuna, Duvall, and CJ Abrams each had two RBIs for Atlanta’s offense.
Braves Records & Stats
With a record of 35-25, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 12-8 in divisional matchups. The Braves are playing today’s game on the road, where they are 16-13 compared to 19-12 at home.
Atlanta has been the favorite in most of their games, as they are 34-21 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Braves have gone just 1-4 this season. They come into today’s game having won three straight games as the favorite.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 17-12. They have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game away from home, and their average run differential in all games is +0.6 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-2 against the run line as underdogs.
The Braves are on the road today against the Nationals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Braves and their opponents have combined to average 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-37. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-2. So far this season, 73.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 8-1 with an ERA of 3.06. Sale’s WHIP for the season is .95, and opponents are batting .208 off the left-hander this year. In his 11 appearances, Sale has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.91 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has a total of 82 strikeouts. Sale’s last outing came on June 1st, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top hitters so far this season, batting .312 with 18 homers and 55 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last nine games with three homers and eight RBIs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has nine homers but is batting just .234 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are among the league leaders in both slugging percentage and isolated power. They are also near the top of the league in batting average and have the 3rd ranked home run offense in the league. Currently, they are 10th in the league in scoring.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, and they are 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Nationals’ overall record is 27-35, and they are 8-10 in the division this year.
At home, the Nationals are 10-17 this year and 17-18 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 24-32 this year and 3-3 as the favorite. The Nationals have dropped two straight series and are 7-12-1 in series play this year.
The Nationals have been a solid team to back on the run line this season, going 36-26 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 23-12 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 13-14. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 33-23 against the run line in those games.
Washington’s combined run average this season is 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 27-32. Their games have averaged eight runs per game, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-5-1. The Nationals have played 37 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 59.7% of their games. They have played 15 games with over/under lines set lower than 8 runs, which is 24.2% of their games.
Jake Irvin will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Guardians. In that June 2nd outing, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs on six hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has made 12 starts and has a record of 3-5. His ERA for the season is 3.39, along with a WHIP of 1.03. Opposing batters are hitting .223 off the right-hander this season. Irvin has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed six homers. At home, he is 0-4 with a 5.1 ERA.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game (24th). They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .230. Joey Meneses is the team’s leading run producer, with 30 RBIs, but he is batting only .231 for the season.
Washington’s top power threat this season has been CJ Abrams, who has 10 homers, which is 11th best in the league. However, he has gone just 2/11 in his last three games. Jesse Winker is currently on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/21 in his last six games.