Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/7/24

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have the Orioles and Rays facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 39-22, but they are currently on a 2 game losing streak. The Rays are 4th in the AL East with a record of 31-31 and are the slight money line favorite (-104).

Friday’s forecast in St. Petersburg calls for thunderstorms, with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Cole Irvin is starting for the Orioles, while the Rays have Aaron Civale on the mound. Baltimore is -117 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -117

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Friday, June 7th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RAYS:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Orioles Records & Stats

Adley Rutschman had a big game for the Orioles in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Orioles really got things going in the 2nd inning, with Rutschman hitting a two-run homer, and Ryan O’Hearn adding another two-run homer. However, the Orioles couldnjson’t hold the lead, as the Blue Jays scored three runs in the 3rd to take the lead. Baltimore was the +107 underdog going into this road game.

Cade Povich got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits. Adley Rutschman was hot early, going 2/4 with two homers, but the Orioles couldnjson’t keep things going, and he went ’til the 9th.

Baltimore is 39-22 overall and trails the Yankees by 4.5 games for the AL East lead. The Orioles are on a two-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays. So far, they have gone 13-6 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Orioles are 21-12 and have gone 18-10 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 32-18 this year and 7-4 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Orioles have won two straight games as the favorite. Their overall series record is 13-4-3 this year.

The Orioles have been a strong bet on the run line this season, as they are 36-25 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 18-10. They have covered the run line in eight straight road games and are 9-2 on the run line as an underdog this season.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Rays. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 31-23. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-3. Overall, 78.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and four of them have been quality starts. Irvin’s ERA for the season is 2.84, along with a record of 5-2. The left-hander has a WHIP of 1.16 and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Red Sox, he went five innings and picked up the win. One issue for Irvin has been the long ball, as he has allowed five homers. Looking back at his last four outings, he has finished with a no-decision in three of them.

Adley Rutschman has been on fire for the Orioles as of late, going 12/34 in his last eight games with two homers and six RBIs. Rutschman is also on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .307 for the season, which is 2nd on the team. Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top power hitter, as he is 2nd in the league with 19 homers. Henderson is also 10th in the league with 42 RBIs.

Overall, the Orioles have the best offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game, and they also lead the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .247 and have the league’s top isolated power number. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .445 is also the best in the league.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Marlins in the bottom of the first, the Rays responded with three runs of their own. Tampa Bay went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Zach Eflin got the start for the Rays, going four innings and giving up two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out three Marlins batters. Isaac Paredes came on in relief and was excellent, going three innings and giving up just one hit. The Rays’s offense was carried by Paredes, who went 2/4 with three RBIs.

With a record of 31-31, the Rays are 4th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 13 games. The Rays head into today’s game on a three-game winning streak, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins. So far, they are 10-13 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Rays are 17-18 this season and 14-13 on the road. As the favorite, the Rays are 20-19 and 11-12 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 9-9-2 this year.

When betting on the Rays’ run line, it’s been better to do so on the road, where they are 15-12 against the run line compared to 11-24 at home. They have a negative run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog (13-10) than as the favorite (13-26).

When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over has been a popular bet, as their games have gone over the total 71.0% of the time this season. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 32-29 overall. Their games have gone over the total in 11 of 16 games when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, and their games have gone over the total in each of their last two games.

Tampa Bay is sending Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Orioles, he finished with a no-decision. Civale has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with a 5.37 ERA. Opponents are batting .263 off the right-hander this season. Looking back at his last four outings, Civale has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has allowed at least one homer in each of his last four outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Rays are 23rd in the MLB in scoring at 4 runs per contest. This is a team that has struggled to hit for power, as they are dead last in the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .358. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league.

Isaac Paredes comes into the game with a team-high 10 homers and is batting .298 overall. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Randy Arozarena is also on a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .169 for the season.