Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 6/7/24

From PNC Park in Pittsburgh, the Twins and Pirates face off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 6:40 PM ET. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.

Minnesota is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are 33-29 overall, which is good for 3rd in the AL Central. Pittsburgh has won two straight and they are 5th in the NL Central with a record of 29-33. The money line odds have the Twins at -123 compared to the Pirates at +104. Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 8 runs, and the forecast for the game is 73 degrees with a few clouds.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -123

This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, June 7th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Twins Records & Stats

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with an 8-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 1st inning before the Yankees scored two runs in the 2nd to take the lead. New York added another three runs in the 3rd to put things out of reach. Minnesota’s offense scored their only other three runs in the 5th.

Pablo Lopez had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on four hits and issuing six walks. The Twins also had to use four different relievers to get through the 3rd inning. Carlos Correa and Christian Vazquez each had two hits and scored a run. Correa hit a homer in the 1st but the Twins couldn’t hold the lead.

Minnesota is on the road to take on the Pirates, having dropped three straight games, and they are 33-29 overall this season. In the AL Central, they are in 3rd place, 7.5 games behind the Guardians. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games.

As the favorite, the Twins have put together a mark of 25-13 this year and are 8-16 as the underdog. They have lost three straight games on the road, and their overall road record is 17-16. Minnesota’s series record is 11-7-2 this year, and they were swept by the Yankees in their most recent series.

Minnesota has been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 17-16. However, the Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three road games.

Minnesota is on the road against Pittsburgh today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Twins’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-33. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 4-9-2, and 37.1% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Right-hander Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with a 3.38 ERA. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Ryan took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. In his last six road appearances, Ryan is 2-1 with a 2.75 ERA.

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Twins, going 6/19 in his last six games with two homers and three RBIs. This has helped him move into 2nd on the team’s home run leaderboard. For the season, he is batting just .222, but his nine homers are 12th best in the league. Ryan Jeffers is just 7th on the team in batting average (.239), but his 36 RBIs are the most on the team, and his 12 homers are 9th best in the MLB.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 8th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .229 and have been one of the worst on-base percentage teams in the league. Minnesota’s offense has been better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game.

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with an 11-7 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Dodgers scored six runs in the top of the 4th. Pittsburgh was the +151 underdog at home going into the game.

Bailey Falter had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. The Pirates also wasted a big game from Oneil Cruz, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/5.

Pittsburgh is 29-33 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by seven games. The Pirates are 7-7 in divisional games this year. They are just a half-game behind the Cardinals for 4th place in the division.

At home, the Pirates are 14-16 this season and have gone 15-17 on the road. So far, they are 9-14 when favored and 20-19 as the underdog. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 7-9-4, and they are coming off winning their series vs. the Dodgers.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.0 runs per game. However, they are just 35-27 against the run line this season, with a negative run differential of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 20-12 against the run line, compared to 15-15 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 27-12, compared to 8-15 as a favorite.

Today’s over/under line for the Pittsburgh Pirates game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8 runs. The Pirates have had an over/under record of 33-28 this season, with their games averaging a combined 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 9-8. In 41.9% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at over 8 runs.

Mitch Keller has been pitching well for the Pirates, coming into the game with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.42. He has made 12 starts this year and has pitched well at home, going 3-1 with a 3.71 ERA. Keller has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went six innings, giving up just one earned run. In that start, he finished with eight strikeouts. Keller has won each of his last three starts.

Over his last eight games, Nick Gonzales has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 12/33 with two homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie for the team lead in homers with Bryan Reynolds, Oneil Cruz, and Andrew McCutchen. Reynolds is also on a five-game hitting streak and leads the team with 34 RBIs. He is batting .255 for the season, while McCutchen comes into the game at just .228.

For the season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .231 and have the 18th ranked home run total in the league. Overall, their team OPS of .660 is 25th in the MLB.