Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24

At 1:40 PM ET, the Braves and Marlins face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -196 compared to the Marlins at +164. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Grant Holmes is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against Darren McCaughan. The Braves are currently 3rd in the NL East, while the Marlins are 5th, with a record of 57-98.

MIAMI MARLINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +164

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Marlins series came right down to the end, as the Marlins rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 6-2 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -275 on the money line.

Atlanta got to Marlins starter Adam Oller, scoring four runs in the first two innings and adding two more in the 5th. On the other side, the Marlins got on the board with one run in the 6th and added their final run in the 7th.

Max Fried pitched well for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one run on five hits. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Lake Bachar came out of the bullpen for the win.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 84-71, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by eight games for the division lead. Atlanta is 25-23 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are on the road today, and they have gone 42-38 as the road team this year.

So far, the Braves have been the favorite in 124 of their games, going 71-53 in those matchups. As the underdog, Atlanta is 13-18 this year. The Braves’ overall series record is 26-17-7, and they are currently tied with the Marlins in this series 1-1. Heading into today’s game, the Braves are 5-5 over their last 10.

When the Braves are on the road, they are a good bet against the run line, going 43-37. Their average run margin on the road is 1.2 runs per game, and their overall run line record is 74-81. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 18-13, compared to 56-68 as the favorite.

The Braves are on the road today against the Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-92. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-27. So far this season, 30.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and 43.2% have had lower lines. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 23 appearances this year to go along with five starts. Holmes’ record for the season is 2-1, and he has an ERA of 3.83. Opposing batters are hitting .264 off Holmes this year. In his last outing, he went 4 innings and gave up two earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. Holmes has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he has 8.59 strikeouts and 1.99 walks.

So far this season, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are also 4th in home runs. Matt Olson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/19 in his last six games with four homers and 10 RBIs.

Marcell Ozuna and Michael Harris II are both on six-game hitting streaks, with Ozuna leading the Braves with 38 homers and 101 RBIs. Ozuna is also batting .310 for the season, and Harris II is hitting .464 over his last six games.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 57-98, putting them 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-33 in divisional games. The Marlins will host the Braves today with an overall home record of 30-50.

The Marlins have not been good on the road, going 27-48 this season. As the underdog, Miami is 53-84 this year compared to 4-14 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are just 11-28-9 and have lost three straight series.

When betting on the Marlins’ run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog. Miami is 70-67 against the run line when getting points, but just 2-16 when laying them. The Marlins’ overall run line record is 72-83, and their average run margin is -1.4 runs per game. They’ve been outscored by 1.8 runs per game at home, where they are 34-46 against the run line.

The Miami Marlins are at home against the Atlanta Braves today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 82-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 28-25. Overall, 20.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Miami is sending right-hander Darren McCaughan to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made four starts and nine appearances this year and has a record of 0-0 with a 7.64 ERA. McCaughan’s WHIP for the season is 1.82, and opponents are batting .322 off him this year. In his last outing, McCaughan gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.

Jake Burger has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 27 home runs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the MLB. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. Burger is also on a three-game hitting streak. Otto Lopez has also gone 10/34 in his last nine games, including two homers.