Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24
Both the Pirates and Reds will be looking to pick up a win today, as they face off in an NL Central matchup. This game is getting started at 1:10 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are on a two-game winning streak.
The money line odds have the Pirates at -121 compared to the Reds at +103, and today’s over/under line is sitting at 8 runs. Paul Skenes is starting for the Pirates, while the Reds are going with Hunter Greene. Pittsburgh is 72-83 overall, while the Reds are 76-80.
CINCINNATI REDS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +103
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Cincinnati cruised to a 7-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -122 on the money line.
Rhett Lowder only went five innings for the Reds but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. Jared Jones struggled on the mound for the Pirates, giving up six runs in five innings of work.
Billy Cook provided the only highlight for the Pirates, going 2/4 with a home run. Elly De La Cruz did a bit of everything for the Reds, going 3/5 with a homer and four RBIs.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 72-83 overall and is 16 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Currently, they are 5th in the division and have gone 23-25 against other teams in the NL Central. The Pirates have dropped two straight games and are 3-7 over their last 10.
At home, the Pirates are 38-40 this year and 34-43 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 38-55 this season compared to 34-28 as the favorite. The team’s overall series record is 19-23-6, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 82-73, and they are 44-33 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, they are 58-35 against the run line.
The Pirates are on the road against the Reds today, with an over/under line of 8 runs. Pittsburgh’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-78. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 16-18. Overall, 50.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with 78 games above that mark and 43 games below it.
Paul Skenes is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Pirates today vs. the Reds. In that outing, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Skenes’ ERA for the season is 2.07, along with a record of 10-3. The right-hander has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .198 off him this season. Skenes has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 11.29 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates’ top hitter in terms of batting average, as he is hitting .276 for the season, and he is also the team’s leader in home runs (22) and RBIs (85). Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run and RBI leaderboards, as they have 20 homers and 75 and 66 RBIs, respectively. Both players are also on a good stretch of games, with Cruz hitting .324 over his last eight games and De La Cruz going 5/20 with two homers in his last seven games.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Overall, they are just 23rd in home runs and have a team batting average of .236. Pittsburgh’s offense has been pretty bad in terms of strikeouts, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of OBP, slugging, and OPS.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 76-80 overall and 4th in the NL Central. They trail the Brewers by 12.5 games and are 2.5 games behind the Cardinals for 3rd place in the division. The Reds have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Pirates and are 23-25 in the division.
At home, the Reds are 39-41 this season and 37-39 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 41-47 this season and 35-33 when favored. Cincinnati’s two-game win streak as the underdog comes after losing two straight when the underdog.
The Reds have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 85-71. They have been especially good on the road, going 47-29. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 56-32. Their average run differential in wins is +3.8, while it is -3.4 in losses.
The Cincinnati Reds are hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 73-76. The average over/under line for Cincinnati games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-12. This season, 71.2% of Reds games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, with 111 games having higher lines and 26 games having lower lines.
Hunter Greene gets the start for the Reds today and is coming off a great outing vs. the Cardinals. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Greene has made 24 starts, has a record of 9-4, and an ERA of 2.83. Opponents are batting just .179 off the right-hander this season. Greene has one complete game and 13 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.17 strikeouts and 3.33 walks. At home, his ERA is 3.70 compared to 2.29 on the road.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 12/36 (.333) with two homers over his last nine games. During this stretch, he has also driven in nine runs. De La Cruz is currently the team’s leader in homers (25) and is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs. Overall, he is batting .263 this season.
Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, with each having 20 homers this season. Steer is batting just .230 for the year, while Candelario is even lower at .225. However, Candelario has been swinging a better bat of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games.