Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24

From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Angels and Astros facing off in an AL West matchup. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -275, while the Angels are +228 underdogs. Today’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 2:10 PM ET, and BSW is carrying the game on TV. Griffin Canning is starting for the Angels, and he is facing off against Spencer Arrighetti. The Angels are 62-93, while the Astros are 85-70 and have won three straight.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:10 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Houston cruised to a 10-4 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Angels, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -237 on the money line.

Ronel Blanco got the win for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Reid Detmers had a rough outing for the Angels, taking the loss after going just two innings and giving up seven earned runs.

Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros, while Logan O’Hoppe went deep for the Angels. Tucker, Alvarez, Victor Caratini, Mauricio Dubon, and Jeremy Pena each had two RBIs for Houston’s offense.

Angels Records & Stats

With a record of 62-93, the Angels are 5th in the AL West and trail the Astros by 23 games. Currently, they are 18.0 games behind the Athletics for 4th place in the division. The Angels have dropped three straight games, and they are 2-8 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Angels are 32-46 compared to 30-47 on the road. As the underdog, the Angels are 54-77 this season, and they have dropped eight straight games as the underdog. When favored, the Angels are just 8-16 this year, and their overall series record is 13-32-3.

When the Angels win, they win big. Their average run differential in victories is +3.1, but they are just 38-40 against the run line at home and 38-39 on the road. They are 70-61 against the run line as underdogs, but just 6-18 when favored. Their overall run differential is -0.9, and they have failed to cover the run line in five straight games and eight of their last nine.

The Angels are on the road against the Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Angels games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 74-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Angels have a record of 30-28. The over has hit in two consecutive games for the Angels.

Griffin Canning is coming off a strong outing, as he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work vs. the White Sox on September 17th. He ended up with the win in that outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Canning has made 29 starts and has a record of 6-13. His ERA for the season is 5.16, along with a WHIP of 1.39. Opponents are batting .259 off Canning this year. Out of his 30 appearances, he has seven quality starts. Canning’s ERA at home is 4.8, compared to 6.5 on the road. He is 0-10 on the road this year.

Over the past 10 games, Nolan Schanuel has been on fire for the Angels, going 14/39 with a home run and six RBIs. Taylor Ward has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .263 with three homers in this stretch. Ward is currently the team’s leader in home runs and RBIs, while batting .249 for the season. Zach Neto is also near the top of the Angels’ home run leaderboard, with 21 homers this season.

Overall, the Angels are 27th in the MLB in scoring, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .229 and have an on-base percentage of only .301. Their team slugging percentage of .371 is also near the bottom of the league.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros are currently 85-70 overall, putting them five games ahead of the Mariners for the AL West lead. Houston has taken three straight games, and they are leading the Angels 3-0 in the series. So far, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the AL West.

At home, the Astros are 45-32 this year and have gone 40-38 on the road. Houston has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 66-49. They have also been good recently, going 8-2 over their last 10 games.

When the Astros are at home, they are a .500 team against the run line, going 38-39. Their average run margin at home is 1.1 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in four straight games at Minute Maid Park. They are 55-60 against the run line as the favorite and 26-14 as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Houston Astros’ game against the Los Angeles Angels is slightly higher than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Astros have gone over the total in 63 of their 150 games this season, with a record of 19-29 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The over has hit in two straight games for Houston.

Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 7-13 and an ERA of 4.68. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on three walks and eight hits. Arrighetti has made 27 starts this season and has a total of nine quality starts. His ERA at home is 6.98, compared to 8.19 on the road. One thing to note is that he has a higher ERA on the road, but his record at home is 3-5 compared to 4-8 on the road.

Yordan Alvarez is the Astros’ top power hitter this season, as his 35 homers are the best mark on the team and 8th in the MLB. Alvarez also leads the team with 86 RBIs and is batting .305 for the season. However, he has gone just 8/39 in his last 10 games. Kyle Tucker has been hot of late, going 15/31 in his last nine games with three homers.

As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and 12th in runs scored (4.6 per game). They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the Astros are one of the league’s best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts and have a good team on-base percentage.