Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
SEC Network is covering this week 13 non-conference matchup between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks. The game is set for 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd, at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville. Arkansas is -21.5 point favorites, with the over/under line at 50.5 points. The Razorbacks are 5-5 on the season, while the Bulldogs come in at 4-6.
LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS VS ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +21.5
This game will be played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS:
- We have the Arkansas Razorbacks winning this one by a score of 24 to 19
- Even though we like the Arkansas Razorbacks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at +21.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points
Will The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Louisiana Tech enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, facing Arkansas. They have just a 4.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. The Bulldogs are 2-0 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.
Louisiana Tech’s ATS record stands at 4-2, with a 3-1 mark on the road. They’ve gone 1-2 against the spread as favorites but are 3-0 ATS as underdogs. Their average scoring margin this season is +0.8 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 50.5 points. Louisiana Tech’s games have averaged 43 points, and their over/under record is 2-4, with an average line of 50.4 points.
Louisiana Tech’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.9 points per game, which ranks them 80th in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are positioned 126th heading into week 13. Their rushing game has been particularly weak, with an average of 115.1 yards per game on the ground.
Omiri Wiggins leads the team with 348 rushing yards, one touchdown, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Quarterback Evan Bullock has thrown for 1,518 yards, completing 67.3% of his passes with 12 touchdowns and two interceptions. Tru Edwards has 760 receiving yards and six touchdowns this season.
Louisiana Tech’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 30th nationally by allowing just 21.1 points per game. They’ve given up 116.8 rushing yards per game (35th) and 187.3 passing yards per game (38th), with opposing quarterbacks posting a passer rating of 81.7 and a 58.1% completion rate.
In their recent game against Western Kentucky, Louisiana Tech’s defense gave up just 7 points, allowing 215 total yards. They held Western Kentucky to 63 rushing yards on 22 attempts and 152 passing yards.
Are The Arkansas Razorbacks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Arkansas enters Week 13 with a 5-5 record, ranked 32nd in our power rankings. They have a 96.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Southeastern. At home, they are 2-3, while their road record stands at 2-1 this season.
The Razorbacks have a +5 average scoring margin and are 5-3 against the spread. They are unbeaten on the road ATS (3-0) but have a 2-3 record at home. As favorites, they are 1-1 ATS and 4-2 as underdogs.
Arkansas’ over/under record is 3-5, with their games averaging 56.4 points. Their average over/under line is 56.3 points, and this week’s line is set at 50.5 points.
Arkansas’ offense is averaging 30.7 points per game, ranking 36th in the nation, and they sit 40th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. They are 22nd in passing yards, averaging 277.9 yards per game, and convert 47.3% of their third downs, which ranks 14th nationally. The Razorbacks are 38th in passing attempts, with 32 per game, and 40th in completions, averaging 20.3 per game. Their completion rate is 63.4%, and their rushing game is producing 181.7 yards per game.
Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 2,362 yards, with a passer rating of 88. He has 11 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Leading the ground attack, Ja’Quinden Jackson has rushed for 648 yards and scored 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong leads the receiving corps with 931 yards on 61 catches, though he has only one touchdown this season.
Arkansas’ defense allowed 20 points in their recent 20-10 loss to Texas, giving up 318 total yards. They held Texas to 142 rushing yards on 38 attempts and 176 passing yards, though they allowed two passing touchdowns.
On average, Arkansas’ defense has allowed 25.7 points per game this season. They rank 45th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up 123.8 yards per game, but they’ve struggled against the pass, allowing 257.2 yards per game, ranking 144th in the country.