Vanderbilt Commodores vs LSU Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
At 7:45 ET, the Vanderbilt Commodores and LSU Tigers will face off at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. The game is set to be televised on SECN, with LSU coming in as the -8.5 point favorite. The money line odds have LSU at -322 and Vanderbilt at +253, and the over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Both teams enter the game with a 6-4 record this season.
VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS LSU TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +8.5
This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) at 7:45 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:
- We have the Vanderbilt Commodores winning this one by a score of 33 to 27
- Not only do we have the Vanderbilt Commodores winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +8.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 54.5 points
Will The Vanderbilt Commodores Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Vanderbilt enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record, but they have no chance of winning the Southeastern, according to projections. However, they are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible. The Commodores are 2-2 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.
Vanderbilt has been favored in just two games this year, going 1-1 as the favorite. As the underdog, they have a 3-2 record. Their average scoring margin is +6.3 points per game, and they are 4-3 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 54.5 points. Vanderbilt’s average over/under line is 49.4 points, and their over/under record is 2-4-1, with their games averaging 49.7 points.
Vanderbilt’s offense is averaging 28 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 50th nationally. However, they are ranked 31st in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Diego Pavia has thrown for 1,843 yards, completing 60.6% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 101, which matches the team’s overall rating, ranking 28th in the country.
Vanderbilt ranks 20th in third-down conversions, converting 46% of their attempts. They are 34th in rushing attempts, averaging 36.9 carries per game, but only 145.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 79th nationally. Sedrick Alexander leads the team with 470 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 3 yards per carry. Junior Sherrill has 331 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Vanderbilt’s defense, ranked 33rd nationally, is allowing 21.7 points per game. In their recent game against South Carolina, they gave up 28 points, including five passing touchdowns, while allowing 353 passing yards. However, they limited South Carolina to 110 rushing yards.
On average, Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 227.1 passing yards per game and 123.1 rushing yards. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 65.7% of their passes, with a passer rating of 94.9 against the Commodores.
Are The LSU Tigers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
LSU enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record, ranked 19th in our power rankings. They are 2-1 at home this season and are guaranteed bowl eligibility. However, they have no chance of winning the Southeastern title.
The Tigers have been favored in six of their ten games, going 4-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4 points per game, but they have struggled against the spread, with a 2-6 record.
LSU’s over/under record is 2-6, with their games averaging 54.2 points. This week’s line is 54.5 points, lower than their average over/under line of 58.7 points.
LSU’s offense has been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 3rd in passing attempts per game and 8th in passing yards, averaging 316.7 yards per game. They are also 6th in passing completions. Overall, they rank 13th in our offensive power rankings and are converting 49.3% of their third downs, which is 8th in the nation. Heading into week 13, they are 46th in scoring, with 29.1 points per game.
Garrett Nussmeier has thrown for 3,130 yards this season, with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and his passer rating is 91. LSU ranks 65th in passer rating nationally. Nussmeier has completed 62.2% of his passes. On the ground, Caden Durham leads the team with 551 rushing yards and six touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Kyren Lacy is the top receiver with 740 yards and seven touchdowns on 49 catches.
LSU’s defense has allowed 25.1 points per game this season, including 27 points in their recent 27-16 loss to Florida. The Tigers gave up 342 total yards, with 226 yards coming through the air and 116 yards on the ground, including two rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 217.2 passing yards per game against LSU, completing 61.2% of their passes. The Tigers rank 84th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 151.4 yards per game on 31.9 attempts, which is the 33rd fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.