Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/26/24
At 7:40 PM ET, the Braves and Twins will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are the slight money line favorite (-108). The Braves are 2nd in the NL East, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central.
Monday’s forecast in Minneapolis calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. Max Fried will start for the Braves, and he is facing off against Bailey Ober. Currently, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and this game can be seen on BSN.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, August 26th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite at -197 going into the game but fell behind early, as the Nationals scored a run in the 1st inning. Things really got away from the Braves in the 4th, as the Nationals scored three runs in the inning. Atlanta’s offense scored their only run in the 6th.
Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out seven. However, the Braves’s offense was carried by Luke Jackson, who went ‘three innings out of the bullpen, giving up just one hit and no runs.
Atlanta is six games behind the Phillies in the NL East and are 70-60 overall through 130 games. The Braves will be on the road today vs. the Twins, and they are 34-32 on the road this season. They have been good at home, going 36-28.
So far, the Braves have gone 22-18 in divisional games. As the favorite, the Braves are 60-47 and 10-13 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 23-15-5 and have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
When it comes to the run line, the Braves have been a .500 team on the road this season, going 33-33. They have a +0.9 run differential away from Atlanta, which is better than their overall run differential of +0.4 runs per game. The Braves have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 13-10 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The Braves are on the road against the Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.1, and their over/under record is 47-78. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-13-1. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 59.2% of their games this season.
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 3.57. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and has a shutout to his credit. Fried has finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings, most recently giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work vs. the Phillies. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .305 with a league-leading 94 RBIs and 37 home runs, which is 4th in the MLB. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs, but he has struggled with a batting average of just .226 this season.
Orlando Arcia comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak but has just four hits in his last 18 at-bats. Ramon Laureano has gone 7/18 in his last five games for the Braves.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the top of the 9th. The Twins were the -142 favorite at home going into the game.
Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. The Twins’s offense was carried by Willi Castro, who went 1/3 with a homer.
Minnesota will host the Braves with an overall record of 72-58, which has them 3rd in the AL Central. The Twins are three games behind the Guardians for the lead in the AL Central, and they have gone 28-17 against other teams in their division this year. The Twins lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Twins are 37-26 this year and have gone 35-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 56-34 this year and 16-24 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-15-3, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Twins have been a solid run line bet this season, going 64-66 overall. They are 28-35 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 42-48 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 22-18.
The Minnesota Twins have played 53 games this season with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 9-16-4. Their average combined run average is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 66-60. They have gone under the total in each of their last three games.
Twins starter Bailey Ober has been solid this season, coming into the game with a record of 12-5 and an ERA of 3.54. He has made 24 starts and 15 of them have been quality starts. Ober’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 0.99. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, going 7-1 with a 2.94 ERA compared to 5-4 with a 7.31 ERA on the road.
Currently, the Twins are 7th in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in team batting average and have the league’s 6th best on-base percentage and slugging percentage. As a team, they are also 5th in isolated power.
Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ best power threat this season, as his 20 homers are the most on the team and 15th in the league. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/17 in his last six games with three homers. Jeffers isn’t the only Twins player who has been hitting well of late, as Trevor Larnach has gone 10/28 in his last nine games, with three homers and seven RBIs.