San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/26/24
At 7:45 PM ET, the Padres and Cardinals will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are the slight money line favorite (-110). The Padres are 74-58 and 3rd in the NL West, while the Cardinals are 65-65 and 2nd in the NL Central.
The over/under line for Monday’s game is 9.5 runs, and the forecast in St. Louis calls for broken clouds and temperatures near 100 degrees. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, while the Padres have Randy Vasquez on the mound.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -109
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Monday, August 26th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres’s offense was carried by Jurickson Profar in their most recent game vs. the Mets. Profar went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really needed his big game, as they only scored three runs and won by just one run. They were the slight favorite at -121 at home going into the game.
Martin Perez got the start for the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on four hits and issued just three walks. The Padres’s bullpen was excellent, as they didn’t give up a run and Robert Suarez closed things out in the 9th for the save.
San Diego is 74-58 overall this season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are 20-20 against other NL West teams this season. The team is on the road today, where they are 37-26 this season.
So far, the Padres have been good as the favorite, going 47-36, and they are 27-22 as the underdog. The Padres’ overall series record is 26-14-4 this season, and they split their most recent series vs. the Mets. Looking at their overall record, the Padres are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Padres have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 68-64. They have been especially good on the road, going 41-22 on the run line. They have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of +1.2 runs per game on the road and -0.1 runs per game at home.
San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 71 of 131 games this season, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. Today’s over/under line is 9.5 runs, and the over/under record in their games when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 6-2.
Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.63. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.51. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, Vásquez has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made four quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 7.99 compared to 3.52 at home.
So far, the Padres have been the best-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. San Diego is averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .291 with a team-high 21 home runs and 79 RBIs. Over his last six games, he has gone 7/23 with two homers and six RBIs. Manny Machado is also near the top of the Padres’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with 20 homers and 74 RBIs. Luis Arraez is hitting .303 for the season and has gone deep four times.
Cardinals Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 3-2 win. St. Louis was the +121 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was the Cardinals’s offense that carried them to the win, as they scored their three runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.
Erick Fedde put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. St. Louis’s bullpen closed things out, and Ryan Helsley picked up the save.
St. Louis comes into today’s game vs. the Padres with an even record of 65-65, which has them 10 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 19-23 in divisional games this season and have won two straight series. Their most recent series win came vs. the Twins, taking the series 2-1.
At home, the Cardinals are 34-30 this season and 31-35 on the road. This season, the Cardinals have been the favorite in 65 of their games, going 32-33 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, the Cardinals are 33-32 this season. St. Louis’ overall series record is 21-18-4, and they have won two straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Cardinals have been a better bet as the underdog, going 43-22, compared to 21-44 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while in losses it’s -3.6. Their overall run line record is 64-66, and they are 32-34 on the run line on the road.
Despite the over/under line being set at 9.5 runs, the St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres have combined for an average of just 8.6 runs per game this season. The under has hit in 93.1% of the Cardinals’ games this season, including in each of their last four contests.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 4.22. Opposing batters are hitting .255 off Gibson this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.36. Gibson has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.32 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th best in the league. St. Louis has been led by Alec Burleson, who has a team-high 21 homers and 70 RBIs, while batting .274.
Over his last eight games, Nolan Arenado has gone 11/33 with two homers and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the 2nd spot on the team’s home run leaderboard (14) and 2nd in RBIs (60). Arenado is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Masyn Winn is batting .278 for the season and has 11 homers, while Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Gorman are also tied for 2nd on the team with 19 homers.