New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/26/24
The Nationals host the Yankees tonight at 6:45 PM ET and will be looking to pull off the upset, as they are +156 on the money line. However, the Yankees are the heavy favorites, with their money line odds sitting at -186. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
New York will be sending Nestor Cortes to the mound, and he will be facing off against Mitchell Parker. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East. This interleague matchup can be seen on YES.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +156
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Monday, August 26th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 10-3 win. After allowing one run to the Rockies in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with two runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Things really got out of hand for the Rockies in the 7th, as the Yankees scored another three runs in the inning. Aaron Judge went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Yankees also had three other players with two hits.
The Yankees lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles, heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Nationals. New York’s overall record is 77-54, and they are 22-23 in divisional games. The Yankees have gone 6-4 across their last ten games and took their most recent series vs. the Rockies.
At home, the Yankees are 36-29 this year, and they have been even better on the road, going 41-25. As the road favorite, the Yankees are 24-20 this season, and they are 59-47 when favored overall. As for their record as the underdog, the Yankees have gone 18-7 this year. New York’s overall series record is 25-13-4, and they have won two straight series.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have a run line record of 40-26, including a 21-4 mark as the underdog. Their average run differential in all games is +1.0 runs per game, but it jumps to +1.4 on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two games, and their average run differential in wins is +4.2 runs per game.
The Yankees are on the road in Washington today, where the O/U line is set at 9 runs. Their combined run average this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their O/U record is 72-55. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 10-12-2. So far this season, 19 of their games have had O/U lines set above 9 runs, which accounts for 14.5% of their games. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-10 with an ERA of 4.00. Cortes has pitched much better at home this season, coming in with a 5.84 ERA on the road compared to 3.30 at home. In his last outing, he pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win vs. the Guardians. Cortes has actually won three straight starts, not allowing a run in any of those outings. His WHIP for the season is 1.15, and opponents are batting .245 vs. Cortes this year.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also 2nd in the league in runs per game at 5.1. This has been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the top on-base percentage team in the MLB and have the best OPS in the league. Aaron Judge has been on fire of late, going 11/33 in his last nine games with eight homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .333 with 51 homers and 122 RBIs.
As a team, the Yankees are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and are also the top team in terms of walks. They are also 2nd in the league in isolated power. Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .299 with 37 homers and 95 RBIs.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-1 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +165 underdog. It was a big first inning for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run and added three more in the 3rd.
DJ Herz put together a good start for the Nationals, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out eight Braves batters. Washington’s offense was carried by CJ Abrams, who went 2/5 with two RBIs.
Washington is 59-72 overall, and they are 17.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the division and have gone 18-20 in divisional matchups this year. At home, they are 30-33 compared to 29-39 on the road.
As the underdog, the Nationals are 47-61 this year and 12-11 when favored. Washington has won two straight games at home, and their overall series record is 17-22-3. Looking back, the Nationals dropped their series vs. the Braves, going 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 74-57, including a 34-29 mark at home. The Nationals’ average run differential is -0.5, but they have been profitable as the underdog, going 63-45 against the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it is -3.6 in losses.
Washington’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 64-62. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 13-14-3. The O/U line for today’s game against the Yankees is set at 9 runs. So far this season, 60.3% of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last three games.
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 4.25 ERA. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Parker picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Parker’s ERA on the road is 11.09 compared to 3.62 at home.
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 19th in the league. They are also one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league, coming in at 24th. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. So far, their team ISO of .132 is 22nd in the league.
Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .293 and is leading the team with 63 RBIs. CJ Abrams has a team-high 18 homers but is hitting just .249. Over his last eight games, Jose Tena is batting .367 with one home run and four RBIs. Alex Call has two homers in his last seven games but is hitting just .200 over that stretch.