San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24
First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Giants and Reds is set for 12:05 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The forecast for today’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s. San Francisco is 55-57 overall, while the Reds are 53-57. Robbie Ray will start for the Giants, and he is facing off against Carson Spiers.
The money line odds have the Giants at -131 compared to the Reds at +112, and the over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs. This game is an NL matchup, and the Reds are 4th in the NL Central, while the Giants are 4th in the NL West.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline -131
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 12:05 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS REDS:
- We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cincinnati picked up a 6-4 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Giants, they scored two of their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -137 on the money line.
Hunter Greene started for the Reds and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Giants, Kyle Harrison got the start and took the loss, giving up six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Matt Chapman and Michael Conforto each homered for the Giants, while Tyler Stephenson hit two homers for the Reds. Jonathan India also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Cincinnati.
Giants Records & Stats
At 55-57, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 9.5 games. So far, they have gone 21-19 in divisional matchups. San Francisco will be on the road today, and they are 22-34 on the road compared to 33-23 at home.
San Francisco has been playing well lately, going 7-3 across their last ten games. As the favorite, the Giants are 33-24 this year and 22-33 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 17-15-3, and they are tied in their current series vs. the Reds.
When the Giants win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.4 runs per game. Overall, the Giants have a run line record of 53-59, with a run line record of 29-27 on the road and 24-32 at home. As the favorite, they are just 22-35 against the run line, while they are 31-24 as the underdog.
San Francisco Giants games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-51. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-4. Only 4.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.
Robbie Ray will be on the mound for the Giants as they take on the Reds. Ray is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 5 innings and struck out 8. He did not allow a hit in that game but did give up 3 walks. In his most recent outing, he took a loss to the A’s, giving up 4 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings.
Over the past nine games, Matt Chapman has been swinging a hot bat for the Giants, hitting .364 with two homers and four RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 16 home runs this season. Chapman is also 2nd on the team with 49 RBIs. Heliot Ramos is right behind him in the home run department, as he has gone deep 15 times this season while batting .285.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Their team batting average of .243 is 12th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in walks. Overall, they are 18th in home runs and have a collective isolated power figure of .152.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 53-57 overall and trails the Brewers by nine games in the NL Central. So far, they are 14-15 against other teams in the NL Central. The Reds are at home today, where they are 28-30 this year.
The Reds have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Pirates for 3rd place in the NL Central. Cincinnati is the favorite today, and they have gone 27-24 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Reds are 26-33 this year, and their overall series record is 13-19-3.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 58-52 record. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 32-20. They have a run line record of 26-32 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.3 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 36-23.
The Cincinnati Reds are playing at home against the San Francisco Giants today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds have had an over/under record of 48-58 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.5. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 18-9. So far this season, only 4.5% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs.
Cincinnati is sending Carson Spiers to the mound today vs. the Giants, and he has made two straight starts without giving up an earned run. In his most recent outing, he went five innings vs. the Cubs, picking up the win in the process. Looking at his overall numbers, Spiers has made six starts, 11 appearances, and has a record of 4-2. His ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Opposing batters are hitting .245 off the right-hander this season. Spiers has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.79 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over his last four games, Santiago Espinal has gone 7/14 with a home run and two RBIs. Tyler Stephenson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 with two homers in his last five games. For the season, Stephenson is batting .233 with 15 homers, and his 65 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. Elly De La Cruz is batting .257 and has gone deep 18 times.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 14th in home runs. However, they are batting just .228 and have the 21st on-base percentage in the league. Currently, they have one player on a hitting streak, with Nick Martini having a three-game stretch.