Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24
First pitch for this Phillies vs. Mariners interleague matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Phillies are 65-44, and they are starting Orion Kerkering. The Mariners have Bryce Miller on the mound, and they are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 58-53.
Seattle is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -129 compared to the Phillies at +109. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the money line odds are being carried by NSPPH.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -129
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Seattle cruised to an easy 10-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -114.
Bryan Woo pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Phillips got the loss for the Phillies, going just 1 2/3 innings and giving up eight runs.
Offensively, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner and Victor Robles, who each had two hits and a home run. Turner, Robles, and Mitch Haniger each scored two runs for Seattle’s offense.
Phillies Records & Stats
With a record of 65-44, the Phillies are leading the NL East by five games over the Braves. However, they have dropped five straight games, and their series loss to the Mariners is part of a larger issue, as they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Phillies have gone 38-21 this year and are just over .500 at 27-23 on the road. As the underdog, the Phillies have an overall record of 8-9 this year, and they are 57-35 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-13-5 this year, but they have lost five straight series.
When the Phillies are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line at 25-25. They have a run line record of 53-56 overall, and their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game. The Phillies have been favored in 92 games and have a run line record of 45-47 in those games.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 50-54. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-11, and 28.4% of their games have had higher lines. Their over streak is at four games.
Right-hander Orion Kerkering gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Kerkering has made just one start this year to go along with 41 appearances out of the bullpen. His record for the season is 2-2, and he has an ERA of 2.21. Kerkering’s WHIP for the season is 1.06, and opponents are batting .231 off him this year. In his last outing, Kerkering took the loss, giving up one earned run in one inning of work out of the bullpen. Before that, he had come out of the bullpen and not allowed a run in three straight outings.
For the season, the Phillies are the league’s 4th best hitting team, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 6th best on-base percentage. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are 13th in the league in this category.
Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies of late, going 6/20 in his last five games. Bohm is hitting .297 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 73 RBIs. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are the Phillies’ top home run hitters, with 24 and 22 homers, respectively.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 2nd in the AL West, tied with the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners are 58-53 overall and have gone 19-13 against other teams in the AL West. Seattle took the first game of the series vs. the Phillies and has an overall series record of 15-18-2 this year.
At home, the Mariners are 32-23 this season and have gone 26-30 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 72 of their games, and they are 39-33 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Mariners have gone 25-18 this year.
When the Mariners win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Overall, Seattle is just above .500 against the run line at 50-61, with a run line record of 24-31 at home and 26-30 on the road.
When the Seattle Mariners host the Philadelphia Phillies today, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Mariners and their opponents have combined to average 7.7 runs per game this season, and Seattle has a 48-58 over/under record overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 11 of Seattle’s 14 games. Overall, only 9.9% of the Mariners’ games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Seattle is starting right-hander Bryce Miller vs. the Phillies today, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-7 and an ERA of 3.46. Miller has made 21 starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with a 2.07 ERA compared to 5.83 on the road. Overall, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Miller picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had not allowed a run in two straight outings.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as his 23 homers is the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a league-leading 67 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is also a player to watch in the lineup, as he is batting .263 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. Over his last nine games, Victor Robles is batting .342 for the Mariners, while Jorge Polanco has four homers in this stretch.
Overall, the Mariners offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .219 and have the worst slugging percentage in the league.