Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24
Monday’s forecast in Boston calls for moderate rain and temperatures in the low to mid-60s. The Mariners and Red Sox will be facing off at Fenway Park, with first pitch being set for 7:10 PM ET. RSNW is carrying Monday’s TV coverage for this AL matchup.
Seattle comes in with a record of 56-51 and is 3-0 over their last three games. Boston, meanwhile, is 55-49 and has Nick Pivetta on the mound. The Red Sox are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -124 compared to the Mariners at +106.
BOSTON RED SOX VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -124
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Monday, July 29th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 6-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Mariners, as they scored two runs, and added another run in the 2nd to take a 3-0 lead. The White Sox pulled to within one run with a 3rd inning score, but Seattle’s offense added another three runs in the top of the 4th to put things out of reach.
Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Seattle is on the road today, taking on the Red Sox with an overall record of 56-51, which has them tied with the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners are currently on a three-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with three straight wins.
So far, the Mariners have gone 19-13 in AL West play, and they have gone 31-23 at home. On the road, Seattle is 25-28 and have won three straight road games. This season, the Mariners are 37-32 as the favorite and an even 19-19 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 15-17-2, and they have dropped five straight series at home.
Seattle is 48-59 against the run line this season, but they have covered in three straight games. They are 25-28 on the run line on the road, where their average scoring margin is +0.1 runs per game. They are 21-17 vs. the run line as an underdog, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.3 runs per game.
Seattle is on the road against the Boston Red Sox today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 45-57 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 10 of their 13 games. Over the course of the season, only 8.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The over has hit in each of their last three games.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Gilbert has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 2.72 ERA. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in 17 quality starts. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently .86, and opponents are batting .185 off him this year. In his last outing, Gilbert took the loss, giving up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gilbert has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-2 and 3.30 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 3.07 ERA at home.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot in the Mariners lineup this season, as his 66 RBIs are 12th in the league and lead the team. He also has 22 homers, which is the top mark on the team and 10th in the MLB. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. Randy Arozarena has 15 homers but is batting just .215.
Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles have both been swinging the bat well for the Mariners, with Polanco hitting .286 and Robles hitting .400 over their last nine games. Polanco has gone deep four times during this stretch, while Robles has one home run.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a tough 8-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -106 on the money line. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 4th inning, as the Yankees scored three runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.
Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Rob Refsnyder had a homer for the Red Sox but went just 1/4. Connor Wong also had a good game at the plate, going 1/4 with a run scored.
Boston opens their series vs. the Mariners having dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees. Currently, the Red Sox are 55-49 overall, which has them 3rd in the AL East, 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone 14-13 in divisional matchups.
This season, the Red Sox are 25-27 at home compared to 30-22 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 31-22 and 24-27 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 16-13-5, and they have dropped three straight series.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They are 48-56 overall, but have been a better bet on the road, going 29-23. Their average run margin for the season is +0.2, but they have been outscored by 0.4 runs per game at home. They are 19-33 on the run line at home this season.
When the Boston Red Sox play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 51-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 17 of 29 games, and the over has hit in four straight games.
Through 16 starts, Nick Pivetta has a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.50. Looking at his overall numbers, Pivetta has a WHIP of 1.18 and has issued just 2.25 walks per nine innings compared to 10.93 strikeouts. The right-hander has made six quality starts this year, and opponents are batting .234 off him. In his last outing, Pivetta was tagged with the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up an earned run.
Not only do the Red Sox come into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses at 4.8 runs per game, but they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .258. They also do a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as their average of 9 per game is the 24th best mark in the league.
Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s top hitters this season, and they are both coming off of strong 10 game stretches. Duran has gone 18/46 in his last 10 games with three homers, while O’Neill has gone deep six times in his last nine games, while hitting .395.