New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Yankees will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-149). The money line odds have the Yankees at +125, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
New York comes in with a record of 62-45 and is starting Luis Gil, while the Phillies are 65-40 and will have Zack Wheeler on the mound. The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East, and the Phillies are leading the NL East. YES will be televising Monday’s game.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -149
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, July 29th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Yankees to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. New York scored three runs in the 1st inning and added another three runs in the 4th. After the Red Sox pulled to within three runs in the 4th, the Yankees added two insurance runs in the 8th.
Carlos Rodon put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven Red Sox batters. Austin Wells was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Yankees also had three other players with two hits.
After taking two of three from the Red Sox, the Yankees are 62-45 overall, putting them just one game behind the Orioles in the AL East. New York has won two straight games and are 4-6 across their last 10. On the road, the Yankees are 35-22 this season.
As the road underdog, the Yankees have been tough to beat, going 14-4 this season. New York has also been good as the underdog overall, putting together a mark of 15-6. Their overall record as the favorite is 47-39. The Yankees have been good in series, going 19-11-4 this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Yankees have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 33-24. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 17-4 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.
The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Yankees have gone over the line in 57 of their 103 games this season, and they are currently on a 4-game over streak.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 3.10. Looking back at his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision after going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. He has been pitching well lately, as he has given up just one earned run in three straight outings. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and opponents are batting .168 off the right-hander this year.
One of the most feared lineups in the league, the Yankees are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. The Yankees are also 2nd in the league in home runs and have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge and Soto are also the top two hitters in terms of RBIs.
Looking at the Yankees’ recent performances, Juan Soto has been on fire, hitting 4 homers in his last 8 games while batting .333. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Overall, Stanton is hitting .288 for the season with 31 homers.
Phillies Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the Phillies closed out the series with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Guardians scored three runs in the top of the 4th. Philadelphia was the -129 favorite at home going into the game.
Kyle Schwarber had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. However, the Phillies couldn’t get much else going, as they only had five hits. Kolby Allard got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up three earned runs.
Philadelphia is 65-40 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies will host the Yankees today with an overall division record of 15-10. They have dropped four straight series, and their overall series record is 19-12-5 this year.
At home, the Phillies are 38-18 this year compared to a 27-22 mark on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, going 57-32, and they are 37-16 as the favorite at home. Looking back at their most recent games, the Phillies lost two of three to the Guardians and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a coin flip this season. They are 53-52 overall, and 28-28 at home. They have been a favorite in 89 games, going 45-44 on the run line. In games they’ve won, they’ve done so by an average of 3.9 runs, while in games they’ve lost, they’ve lost by an average of 3.4 runs.
When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-54. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs, and in games with an over/under line of 9 runs, the record is 3-10-1. Overall, only 13.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has been tough to hit this season, coming into the game with a record of 10-4 and an ERA of 2.55. He has made 20 starts this year and has turned in 15 quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 1.89 compared to 4.45 on the road. Most recently, he faced the Twins and didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has allowed two homers in each of his last two outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams and are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging.
Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/26 with three homers over his last seven games. This has pushed his season average to .248, and he is 2nd on the team with 22 homers. Schwarber also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are the Phillies’ top two hitters in terms of batting average, with Harper leading the team with 24 homers and Bohm right behind him at 11 homers.