Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Nationals and Cardinals facing off in an NL matchup. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Cardinals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -133. The Nationals have a money line payout of +113, and they are 4th in the NL East with a record of 48-56.

Looking at Saturday’s starting pitching matchup, Jake Irvin is going for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals. First pitch for this one is set for 7:15 PM ET, and BSMW will be carrying the game on TV.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -133

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:15 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Cardinals by a score of 10-8. The Nationals offense only had one more hit than the Cardinals and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were at +142 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals and Sonny Gray for the Cardinals. Gore only went five innings and gave up six runs but did not factor in the decision. Jacob Barnes got the win out of the bullpen for the Nationals, while Ryan Fernandez took the loss for the Cardinals.

At the plate, Juan Yepez went 3/4 with two RBIs and scored twice for the Nationals. Luis Garcia Jr. and Jacob Young each had two hits and three RBIs. For the Cardinals, Masyn Winn hit the game’s only home run and drove in three runs.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 48-56 overall, and they are 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, they have gone 16-15 in divisional matchups. The Nationals are on the road today, and they are 25-29 as the road team.

So far, the Nationals have been the favorite in 19 games, going 10-9 in those matchups. As the underdog, Washington is 38-47 this season. They have an overall series record of 13-18-2, and they are currently up 1-0 in their series vs. the Cardinals.

Washington has been a solid run line bet overall this season, with a 58-46 record. They have been especially strong on the road, going 31-23. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 49-36, compared to just 9-10 as the favorite.

Washington Nationals games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 50-50. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, they have gone over 15 times and under 16 times. Overall, 35.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with an ERA of 3.44. Irvin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. One positive note is that Irvin has made 13 quality starts this year. His ERA on the road is 3.82, compared to 3.77 at home.

Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a below-average home run hitting team this season and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team OPS. As a team, the Nationals are batting .237, which is 14th in the league.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with Abrams leading the team with 15 homers and Garcia Jr. sitting in the 2nd spot with 11. Abrams also leads the team with 50 RBIs, while Garcia Jr. is 2nd on the team with 48. Jesse Winker has also been a solid power threat, as he has 11 homers and is 3rd on the team in RBIs.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 53-50 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals have dropped two straight games, losing the series opener vs. the Nationals. In the NL Central, they are 6-6 against the other teams in the division.

At home, the Cardinals are 26-23 this season and an even 27-27 on the road. As the favorite, St. Louis has gone 28-25 and 25-25 as the underdog. So far, their home favorite record is 18-18 this year, and their overall series record is 17-13-3.

St. Louis has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 52-51 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 27-27 against the run line, compared to 25-24 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 33-17 against the run line compared to just 19-34 as the favorite. They have been a better bet in their wins, covering the run line by an average of 2.6 runs, compared to a -3.5 run differential in their losses.

The St. Louis Cardinals are at home today against the Washington Nationals, with the O/U line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.6 runs, and their O/U record is 48-52. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-13. So far this season, 23 of their games have had an O/U line set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.3% of their games, while 45 games have had an O/U line set lower than 8.5 runs, accounting for 43.7% of their games.

Cardinals starter Kyle Gibson has made 19 appearances this year and finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings. Most recently, he faced the Braves and gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Cubs. Gibson has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. For the season, he has a record of 7-3, an ERA of 3.99, and has issued 3.57 walks per nine innings compared to 8.47 strikeouts.

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and have the 17th ranked home run total in the league. One thing to watch will be if they can improve on their team on-base percentage of .309, which is 16th in the league.

Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ biggest power threat this season, as his 19 homers is 1st on the team and 12th in the league. Alec Burleson is also a player to watch, as his 60 RBIs is the best mark on the team, and his 18 homers is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Over his last nine games, Nolan Arenado is hitting .273 with three homers.