Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

The Pirates and Diamondbacks are facing off in an NL matchup at 8:10 PM ET. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix and the Pirates have a record of 52-51 compared to the Diamondbacks, who are 54-50. Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks, and the Pirates are starting Marco Gonzales.

Arizona is currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are the heavy favorites on the money line today at -164. The money line odds have the Pirates at +137, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -164

This game will be played at Chase Field at 8:10 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Pirates vs. Diamondbacks series. Pittsburgh went into the matchup as +145 underdogs and nearly pulled off the upset, but Arizona squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Pirates had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning, but Paul Sewald closed things out for the Diamondbacks.

Zac Gallen started for Arizona and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Pirates, Luis L. Ortiz got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.

Joc Pederson hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also had a three-hit game for the Diamondbacks. Eugenio Suarez went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 52-51 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by seven games. The Pirates dropped the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks and are 17-15 in divisional games this year.

As the road team, the Pirates have gone 26-25 compared to 26-26 at home. So far, they have been just slightly better than .500 both as the favorite and underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Pirates are 15-13-5 and have won four straight series.

When the Pirates are on the road, they have a run line record of 31-20, which includes a current streak of four straight wins. They have been a profitable run line bet on the road, as they are 42-19 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.5 in their losses.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road to face the Arizona Diamondbacks in a game with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 46-56. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have gone over the total 19 times and under 14 times. Overall, the Pirates have played 19 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which accounts for 18.4% of their games this season. Pittsburgh has hit the under in their last six games.

Marco Gonzales and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Diamondbacks. Gonzales has a win and a loss in his two starts this season. He took a loss in his last outing, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. In his first start, he went 5 innings and struck out 4.

Pittsburgh’s offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game this season, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .232 and have the league’s 19th ranked on-base percentage. They have also struggled in the power department, with a team ISO of .136, which is 21st in the MLB.

Bryan Reynolds is leading the Pirates in batting average (.288) and has also gone deep 18 times this season. His 61 RBIs are also the best on the team. Oneil Cruz is batting .249 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 15 homers. Cruz has also gone 8/28 in his last seven games, with one home run.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 54-50 overall and trail the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-14 in divisional matchups. They have won three straight games, and their series record is 16-13-4 this year.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 27-24 this year and 27-26 on the road. Arizona has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 27-19 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 27-31 this season.

Arizona is 54-50 against the run line this season, including a 23-28 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game overall, but that figure drops to -0.1 runs per game at home. They are 31-22 against the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 54-47 this season, with an average line of 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 19 times and under 14 times. Overall, 39.4% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.6 runs per game.

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Pirates at home. Pfaadt has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.74 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.10 and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs, and came away with a no-decision. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer, but he has allowed a homer in four of his last six outings.

Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and they have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been two of the Diamondbacks’ top power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with 23 homers and Marte right behind him at 22. Marte has been especially hot of late, batting .400 over his last 10 games, with four home runs and 13 RBIs. Marte has also gone deep in four straight games.