Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

From Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, we have the Mariners and White Sox facing off. First pitch for this AL matchup is set for 7:15 PM ET. FOX is carrying this one on TV.
The money line odds have the Mariners at -149 compared to the White Sox at +127. Today’s pitching matchup is Bryan Woo for the Mariners and Erick Fedde for the White Sox. Chicago is currently on a 12-game losing streak and is 27-79 overall, while the Mariners are 54-51 and 2nd in the AL West.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago White Sox Moneyline +127
This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, July 27th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS WHITE SOX:
- We have the White Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Seattle cruised to an easy 10-0 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring eight of their ten runs. As for the White Sox, they had their best chance to score in the 2nd, but could only muster two hits and left two runners on base.
George Kirby started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Drew Thorpe got the start for the White Sox and took the loss, giving up eight runs in just two-thirds of an inning of work.
At the plate, Seattle was led by Mitch Garver, who went 3/3 with a home run and three RBIs. Josh Rojas also had a good game, going 1/5 with a homer and three RBIs. Victor Robles scored three times for the Mariners while going 1/3.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 54-51 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL West, one game behind the Astros. The Mariners have gone 2-8 over their last 10 games but did take the series opener vs. the White Sox. In divisional games, they are 19-13 this season.
At home, the Mariners are 31-23 compared to 23-28 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 67 of their games, going 35-32 in those contests. As the underdog, Seattle is 19-19 this year. The Mariners’ overall series record is 14-17-2, and they have dropped three straight series.
Seattle is 46-59 against the run line this season, including 23-28 on the road. The Mariners are 25-42 against the run line as the favorite and 21-17 as the underdog. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 23-31 at home and 23-28 on the road.
Seattle is on the road against the White Sox today. The O/U line for the game is 7.5, which is below their combined run average of 7.4. The Mariners have a 43-57 O/U record on the season, and their average O/U line is 8. When the line is set at 7.5, their O/U record is 12-19. So far this season, 39 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7.5, which accounts for 37.1% of their games.
Right-hander Bryan Woo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the White Sox on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA. Woo’s WHIP for the season is currently .87, and opponents are batting .209 off him this year. In his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. He finished with five strikeouts in that outing. Woo has only allowed four homers this year and is averaging 6.16 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. One of the biggest issues for the Mariners has been their batting average of .217, which is the worst in the league. They also lead the league in strikeouts and have the worst on-base percentage in the league.
Cal Raleigh comes into the game with the most RBIs in the league, and his 20 homers are also the best mark on the team. However, he is batting just .212 this season. Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot for the Mariners, as he is batting .263 with 11 homers and 37 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Mitch Garver has two homers but is just 6/26.
White Sox Records & Stats
With an overall record of 27-79, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central, 36.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. Chicago has dropped 12 straight games, and they are just 8-28 against other teams in the AL Central this year.
Chicago has really struggled at home this year, going 17-35, and they have gone just 10-44 on the road. This season, the White Sox are a combined 22-76 as the underdog. They have also struggled in day games, going 10-35 compared to 17-44 in night games.
The White Sox are 24-28 against the run line at home, and their average run differential in those games is -1.6 runs per game. They are 5-3 vs. the run line as the favorite, and their average run differential in those games is +3.0 runs per game. They are 42-56 vs. the run line as the underdog, and their average run differential in those games is -3.7 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in four straight games at home.
Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-56. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-16. Overall, 64.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Through 20 starts, Erick Fedde has a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.98. He has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.95 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Fedde finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-1 and a 1.50 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 4.35 ERA on the road.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in the MLB in both team batting average and on-base percentage. They are also 30th in the league in runs per game (3.1) and team OPS. The White Sox have also struggled to hit for power, as their team ISO is just .125, which is 23rd in the league.
Andrew Vaughn has been the team’s top run producer this season, with 44 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. He also has 11 homers, which is 3rd in the lineup. Paul DeJong and Luis Robert Jr. are also near the top of the White Sox home run leaderboard, but both players are batting under .230 for the season. Tommy Pham has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .308 over his last 10 games.