New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

The Red Sox host the Yankees today at Fenway Park in Boston and will be looking to move above .500 for the season, as they are 55-47. However, they come into the game as slight money line underdogs (-108), while the Yankees are -111. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.

FOX will be televising this AL East matchup, with first pitch from Boston set for 7:15 PM ET. Marcus Stroman is starting for the Yankees, and the Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford. New York is currently on a three-game losing streak.

BOSTON RED SOX VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -108

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:15 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston picked up a 9-7 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 1st inning, scoring nine of their ten runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their seven runs in the 5th and 6th innings.

Brayan Bello got the start for the Red Sox, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision as the win went to Bailey Horn out of the bullpen. Kenley Jansen got the save. Nestor Cortes only went 4 2/3 innings for the Yankees, giving up four runs on nine hits.

Austin Wells had a big game at the plate for the Yankees, going 3/5 with a home run. Anthony Volpe also went deep for New York, going 2/5. Aaron Judge went 1/4 with three RBIs.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Overall, the Yankees are 60-45, but they have dropped three straight games heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox. New York lost the series opener to Boston.

At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 33-22. As the favorite, the Yankees are 46-39 this year and 14-6 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 18-10-4, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

While the Yankees have been a winning team overall, they have not been a good bet to cover the run line, as they are just 54-51. They have been better on the road, where they are 31-24, compared to 23-27 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 16-4, but have struggled as the favorite, going just 38-47. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while it is -3.4 in losses.

The New York Yankees are on the road against the Boston Red Sox today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Yankees have a 55-46 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 6-3. This is only the third time this season that the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, and their games have gone over the total in their last two games.

New York is sending right-hander Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. Stroman is coming off a rough outing vs. the Rays, where he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three runs (two earned). Looking back over his last four starts, Stroman has allowed at least two home runs in three of them. Stroman’s ERA for the season is 3.51, along with a record of 7-5. Out of his 20 starts, Stroman has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 6.77 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 3.83 walks per nine innings.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in runs per game at 5, but they are also the top home run hitting team in the league, with 152 homers. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 8th in the league, and have the league’s best walk rate. The Yankees are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been two of the Yankees’ top hitters this season. Soto is batting .307 and has gone deep 26 times, while Judge is leading the league with 36 home runs and has driven in a league-leading 92 runs. Soto has been especially hot of late, going 15/39 in his last nine games with four homers. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 5.5 games. Overall, the Red Sox are 55-47, and they are 14-11 against other teams in the AL East. The Yankees are just ahead of the Red Sox in the AL East, holding a 2.0-game lead over them.

At home, the Red Sox are an even 25-25 this year, and they are 30-22 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 52 games, going 31-21 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Red Sox are 24-26 this year. Boston has won three straight at home, and their overall series record is 15-12-5. Currently, they are winning their series vs. the Yankees.

When betting on the Red Sox this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the run line on the road. They are 29-23 against the run line on the road, compared to 19-31 at home. They are also 29-21 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 19-33 as a favorite. Their average run differential in all games is +0.3 runs per game, but it jumps to +0.9 runs per game on the road.

When the Boston Red Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 49-47, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 6-7. The over has hit in their last two games.

Kutter Crawford will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work. In that July 21st start, he gave up two homers. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Crawford’s ERA for the season is 3.37, along with a record of 6-8. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has made 20 starts, 11 of which were quality starts. His WHIP for the season is 1.05, and opponents are batting .215 vs. Crawford this year.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .258. The Red Sox have also been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s best isolated power mark.

Over his last six games, Jarren Duran has gone 10/27 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .291, which is 4th on the team. Tyler O’Neill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last five games with four homers.