Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24
First pitch for Saturday’s matchup between the Marlins and Brewers is set for 7:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Marlins are 38-66 and their money line odds are +136 compared to the Brewers, who are 59-44 and are the heavy favorites at -162. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
BSFL will be televising this NL matchup, and on the mound, we have Max Meyer for the Marlins and Aaron Civale for the Brewers. Civale is 1st in the NL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.
MIAMI MARLINS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +136
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, July 27th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Miami cruised to a 6-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +199 on the money line.
Trevor Rogers got the win for the Marlins, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with only one strikeout and allowed one home run. Freddy Peralta had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits.
Miami’s offense was led by Bryan De La Cruz, Josh Bell, and Jake Burger, as they were the only three Marlins hitters to have more than one hit. De La Cruz and Bell each homered in the game. On the other side, Rhys Hoskins hit a home run for the Brewers, going 1/2.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 38-66 overall this season, and they are 26.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins are 9-21 against other teams in the NL East. Miami is on a two-game winning streak, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are just 22-34 this year. On the road, they have gone 16-32. As the underdog, the Marlins are 34-53 this year, compared to 4-13 as the favorite. So far, they have an overall series record of 9-21-3.
When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a solid bet this season, going 49-55 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 24-24 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have covered in four straight games as the underdog. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 2-15 against the run line.
When the Miami Marlins take on the Milwaukee Brewers today, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Marlins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 57-45, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 15 times, under 9 times, and pushed once. Miami has been on a streak of five consecutive overs, and the over has hit in 49.0% of their games this season when the line has been set at 8 runs.
Max Meyer is on the mound for the Marlins as they take on the Brewers. This will be his second road start of the season, and in his first road outing, he picked up a win vs. the Cardinals. Meyer has a win in all three of his starts this season, and he has 14 strikeouts on the year.
Over his last nine games, Josh Bell has gone 10/34 with four homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into 3rd on the team in RBIs and 2nd in home runs. Xavier Edwards has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/29 in his last nine games. He is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
So far this season, the Marlins are 29th in scoring at 3.6 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .236 and have the league’s worst on-base percentage. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is 59-44 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cardinals by six games for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone 23-13 in divisional matchups. The Brewers dropped the first game of the series vs. the Marlins and are just 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Brewers are 29-18 this season, and they have gone 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 33-23 this season, and they are 26-21 as the underdog. So far this year, their overall series record is 19-11-3, and they have won two straight series.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.8 runs. They are 54-49 against the run line this season, with a run line record of 23-24 at home and 31-25 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite, but they are 32-15 against the run line as the underdog.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have played in games with an average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-44 overall. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 6-7-1. In 59.2% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Milwaukee is sending Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Twins on July 21st, he gave up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Civale has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has a record of 2-7 this season, along with an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.39. Opposing batters are hitting .260 off Civale this season. He has made 20 appearances and four quality starts this year.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is good for 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. Milwaukee has been very good at getting on base, as they are 2nd in OBP and have the 3rd most walks in the league.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as they both have 16 home runs, which is good for 1st on the team and 15th in the league. Adames also comes into the game with the 8th most RBIs in the league (68). Christian Yelich has also been a key run producer for the Brewers, as he is 5th in the league with 42 RBIs. Yelich is also batting .315 this season.