Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24
At 1:35 PM ET, the Rays and Yankees face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -160 compared to the Rays at +136. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
YES will be televising Sunday’s game, and Marcus Stroman will be on the mound for the Yankees. The Rays are starting Shane Baz, and they are 49-49, putting them 4th in the AL East. The Yankees are 2nd in the division with a record of 59-41.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -160
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 21st.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a four-home run performance from Randy Arozarena, the Rays cruised to a 9-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. Tampa Bay had a huge 4th inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only run in the 5th.
Arozarena finished the game with two more homers than the entire Yankees lineup. He went 4/5 with two homers, two singles, and three RBIs. Curtis Mead also had a three-hit game for the Rays, scoring one run and driving in one.
Taj Bradley pitched well for the Rays in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Nestor Cortes lasted just 4 1/3 innings for the Yankees, giving up six runs on eight hits.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is currently at .500 with a record of 49-49, and they are 11 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 13-19 in AL East matchups. The Rays are looking to bounce back today, as they lost the series opener vs. the Yankees but took game two.
At home, the Rays are 27-27 this season, and they are at an even 22-22 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 28-25 this year and 21-24 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 17-11-2, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line on the Rays this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 46-52 overall, but they have been better on the road, going 26-18 against the run line. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 26-19 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.6, but it’s been better in their wins, as they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 2.6 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right in line with the average combined run average for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. The Rays’ over/under record is 46-47, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Rays’ record is 14-14. The over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in just 10.2% of their games this season.
Shane Baz will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Rays, and this time around, he’ll be on the road to take on the Yankees. In his first start of the year, Baz took a loss against the Rangers, but he did strike out 6 and only allowed 1 home run. Then, in his last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs vs. the Yankees.
Heading into today’s game, the Rays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. Tampa Bay’s team batting average of .236 is just 15th in the league, and their home run total of 91 is 22nd. However, they do have the 12th best on-base percentage in the league at .311.
Randy Arozarena has struggled this season, batting just .212, but he does have 14 home runs and has gone 8/24 in his last six games with three homers. Isaac Paredes has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 16 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 59-41 overall this season, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York is 17-20 in divisional matchups and will play at home today. The Yankees are 26-20 at home compared to 33-21 on the road.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 45-35 this season, and they are 14-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-10-3, but they have dropped five straight series at home. The Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. They are 53-47 against the run line this season, with a 22-24 mark at home. They are 31-23 vs. the run line on the road and 16-4 as an underdog.
When the Yankees are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-45. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 25-17. So far, 22.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Rays, and he is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a homer. In that outing vs. the Rays, Stroman went 4 1/3 innings and gave up one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last four starts, Stroman has finished with a no-decision in three of them. Stroman’s ERA for the season is 3.51, along with a record of 7-4. Opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Stroman has 6.69 strikeouts and 4.03 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York has been one of the league’s top power-hitting clubs this season, as they are 2nd in home runs and have a collective isolated power figure of .178.
Right now, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are two of the league’s top home run hitters, with Judge leading the league with 34 homers and Soto’s 23 long balls being the 5th most in the MLB. Soto has been especially hot of late, going 13/34 in his last eight games, with two homers.