Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24
First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Phillies and Pirates is set for 1:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Phillies are 62-36 this season and are starting Tyler Phillips, while the Pirates are 50-48 and have Marco Gonzales on the mound. Philadelphia is 1st in the NL East, while the Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central.
The over/under line for Sunday’s game is at 9 runs, and the Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -141 compared to the Pirates at +119. Pittsburgh comes in with a six-game winning streak. NSPPH will be televising this matchup.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +119
This game will be played at PNC Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 21st.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 6th and added their final run in the 8th.
Luis L. Ortiz pitched well for the Pirates in this one, going seven innings and striking out two without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Cristopher Sanchez took the loss for the Phillies, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen each homered for the Pirates, while Bryan Reynolds went 2/3 with an RBI. Ke’Bryan Hayes also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is on the road today vs. the Pirates, and they come in having dropped three straight games, losing the first two games of this series vs. the Pirates. The Phillies are 62-36 overall, putting them 7.5 games ahead of the Braves for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16, and they are 25-20 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-17. As the favorite, the Phillies are 54-28 this year, and they are 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-9-5 this year.
When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 50-48. They have been slightly better on the road, going 23-22, but they have failed to cover in four straight road games. They have been favored in 82 games and have gone 42-40 on the run line in those contests.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Phillies’ average over/under line of 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 44-49, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 3-7-1. Only 14.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with 74.5% of their games having lower lines.
Tyler Phillips and the Phillies are on the road to take on the Pirates today. Phillips has started one game this season, and it was a win vs. the Athletics. He went 6 innings, giving up 4 runs on 6 hits, with 5 strikeouts.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and also have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. The Phillies also have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage and OPS.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Harper’s 22 homers leading the team and Schwarber’s 19 homers being the 2nd most in the league. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies most consistent hitter this season, batting .295 with 11 homers and a team-high 70 RBIs. Trea Turner has been hot of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games with four homers.
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates have won six straight games and have an overall record of 50-48. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place, trailing the Brewers by six games. So far, they are 15-14 in divisional matchups. Pittsburgh has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Pirates are 24-24 this season and 26-24 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates have gone 29-29 this year, and they are 21-19 when favored. Pittsburgh has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 13-13-5 this year.
When betting the run line, the Pirates have been a solid play overall this season, going 55-43. They are 25-23 against the run line at home and 30-20 on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight games at home and are 40-18 against the run line as an underdog this season. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
When the Pittsburgh Pirates are at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-51. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 3-7-1. Only 6.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 82.7% of their games having lower lines.
Marco Gonzales is getting the start at home for the Pirates against the Phillies. This is his second start of the season, and in his first outing, he picked up the win against the White Sox. Gonzales went 5 innings, allowing just 1 earned run and striking out 4. He also faced the Phillies in his first start of the year, going 6 innings and giving up 2 earned runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also right around their season-long average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 17th in the MLB, and their on-base percentage of .301 is 19th. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 24th best mark in the league.
Bryan Reynolds has been a consistent hitter for the Pirates this season, batting .290 with 18 homers and 61 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 12/28 in his last seven games. Oneil Cruz has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last five games and is on a three-game hitting streak.