Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24

From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Reds and Nationals face off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET. MASN is carrying this one on TV, and the Nationals are favored at -115 on the money line.

Cincinnati comes in with a record of 47-52 and they are 4th in the NL Central. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with an overall record of 46-53. Jake Irvin will start for the Nationals, while the Reds are starting Andrew Abbott. Cincinnati is on a three-game losing streak, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -115

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 21st.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Nationals vs Reds series. Washington went into the matchup as +100 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Nationals had a two-run lead after the first inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th. As for the Reds, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added three more in the 2nd.

Cincinnati had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th, scoring one run off Nationals closer Kyle Finnegan. However, Finnegan closed things out, and the Nationals got the win. Offensively, the Nationals actually outhit the Reds in the game 9 to 7.

MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals, going just two innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision. Justin Wilson took the loss for Washington out of the bullpen. As for the Reds, Nick Lodolo gave up four earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 47-52 overall this season, and they are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds have dropped three straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Nationals 0-2 heading into today’s game. So far, they have gone 12-14 in divisional games.

At home, the Reds are 25-28 this year, and they are just above .500 at 22-24 on the road. This season, the Reds are 25-22 as the favorite and 22-30 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 11-17-3, but they have won two straight series.

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 30-16. They have a run line record of 53-46 overall. The average run margin in their games this season is +0.3 runs per game.

With a combined run average of 8.6, the Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Washington Nationals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Reds’ over/under record for the season is 45-50, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-16-3. The Reds have played 30 games with over/under lines set higher than 9 runs this season, which accounts for 30.3% of their games. Their over/under record is currently on a two-game over streak.

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.39 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.21 and has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Abbott’s ERA at home is 4.08, compared to 3.42 on the road.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging the bat well of late, as he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .255 for the season with a team-leading 17 homers. De La Cruz’s 44 RBIs are also 3rd on the team. Tyler Stephenson has also been hot at the plate, going 7/26 in his last seven games with four homers.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 13th in home runs and have the 18th best batting average in the MLB. Overall, they are 13th in slugging percentage and 17th in OPS.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 46-53 overall and 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals have gone 16-15 in divisional games this year. The Nationals have won two straight games, and they are winning the series vs. the Reds 2-0.

At home, the Nationals are 22-24 this year compared to a 24-29 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 37-45 this year, and they have won two straight games as the underdog overall. Washington’s overall series record is 12-17-2, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 56-43 overall. They have been even better at home, where they are 26-20 against the run line. The Nationals have been a profitable underdog bet, going 48-34 against the run line when not favored. The average run margin in their wins is +3.3, while it is -3.5 in their losses.

The Washington Nationals have gone over the total in four straight games, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 48-47, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 7-7-2. Overall, 65.7% of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs.

Washington is sending Jake Irvin to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that start, he gave up 6 earned runs in 4 innings of work. He has lost each of his last two starts and has given up at least 2 home runs in three straight outings. Irvin’s record for the season is 7-8, and he has an ERA of 3.49. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 5-3 on the road with a 3.82 ERA compared to 2-5 at home with a 3.94 ERA.

Washington’s offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, as they are just 20th in runs per game (4.2) and have the league’s 25th ranked home run total. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the league. Over his last six games, CJ Abrams has gone just 5/27, but he does lead the team with 15 home runs and 49 RBIs. Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker are also near the top of the Nationals’ home run and RBI leaderboards.

Currently, Ildemaro Vargas is on a five-game hitting streak for the Nationals, and Juan Yepez has the team’s longest streak at 12 games. Yepez has also been hot at the plate of late, going 10/21 in his last six games.