St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24

There does appear to be a chance for rain in Atlanta on Sunday, where the Braves and Cardinals will be facing off at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 1:35 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSSE.

Both teams are starting a pitcher with no MLB experience, as Spencer Schwellenbach is going for the Braves, while the Cardinals are starting Miles Mikolas. St. Louis is 2nd in the NL Central, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East. The money line odds have the Braves at -148, while the Cardinals are +126. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -148

This game will be played at Truist Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 21st.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

St. Louis picked up a 9-5 road win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Braves, they scored their final run in the 4th inning. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -120 on the money line.

Sonny Gray got the win for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up five earned runs. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued four walks. Bryce Elder had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six earned runs.

Marcell Ozuna hit the game’s only two home runs while going 2/4 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Brendan Donovan also had a homer for the Cardinals, going 2/5 with three RBIs.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 51-47 overall and is 5.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. This season, they have gone 15-14 in divisional matchups. The Cardinals will take on the Braves today on the road, and they are 25-25 on the road this season.

The Cardinals have won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 16-12-3 this year. As the underdog on the road, the Cardinals are 15-19 this season, and they are 23-24 as the underdog overall. St. Louis has been slightly better at home, going 28-23 as the favorite.

The Cardinals are 49-49 against the run line this season, including a 24-26 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 30-17 as underdogs. In games they’ve won, they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 2.6 runs per game, while they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.5 runs in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the St. Louis Cardinals’ road game against the Atlanta Braves is slightly higher than their season average of 8.7 combined runs per game. The Cardinals have played 95 games this season, with 47 going over the total and 48 going under. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 22 of those 34 games, with the average line for their games this season being set at 8 runs.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas is on the mound for the Cardinals today as he faces the Braves on the road. Mikolas has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with an ERA of 5.13. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.22 and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his 20 appearances, Mikolas has a batting average allowed of .269 and is averaging 6.17 strikeouts per nine innings. His last outing came on July 14th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight outings.

St. Louis Cardinals right fielder Alec Burleson has been on a tear of late, going 16/40 in his last 10 games, with four homers and 15 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .292 with 17 homers, which is 10th in the league. His 57 RBIs are 15th best in the MLB and leads the Cardinals. Nolan Gorman also has 18 homers this season but is batting just .207.

Overall, the Cardinals are 22nd in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .247. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as their team BABIP is the 5th best in the league.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 54-43, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 14-12 in divisional matchups. The Braves will take on the Cardinals today, and they are 30-18 at home this season.

Atlanta has gone 24-25 on the road this year. As the favorite, the Braves are 50-34 and 4-9 as the underdog. They have won two straight games as the favorite and are 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. So far, their overall series record is 18-11-3.

Atlanta has been a solid run line bet this season, going 45-52 overall, but they have been slightly better on the road (24-25) compared to at home (21-27). Their average run margin for the season is +0.6, and they have been favored in 84 games, going 39-45 on the run line in those contests. They have a run line record of 6-7 as an underdog.

When the Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 7.9 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Atlanta is 34-58, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-17. In 37.1% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs.

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start vs. the Padres, he went seven innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Schwellenbach has gone at least five innings in each start. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 4.43 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .241 off the right-hander this season. Schwellenbach has turned in four quality starts this year.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 14/36 in his last nine games with five homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .305 with 28 homers and 79 RBIs. Ozuna is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. Austin Riley and Matt Olson are also in the top 15 in the league in homers, with 13 apiece.

As a team, the Braves are 9th in homers and are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .241 is 13th in the league, and they are 8th in slugging percentage. Currently, the Braves are 8th in slugging and 14th in OPS.