Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24

At 1:05 PM ET, the Brewers and Twins face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, where the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. Milwaukee is 56-42 overall, and they are starting Aaron Civale. The Twins are 54-43 and will send Joe Ryan to the mound.

Minnesota comes into this one as the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -159. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Twins will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Milwaukee has won two straight, and they are +134 on the money line today.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +134

This game will be played at Target Field at 1:05 ET on Sunday, July 21st.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS TWINS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Twins by a score of 8-4. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +103 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Pablo Lopez for the Twins. Peralta only went six innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Lopez was tagged for four runs in seven innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two-through-four hitters, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, and Willy Adames, combined for seven of the team’s eight RBIs. Chourio and Brice Turang each scored three times for the Brewers’ offense.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Twins, and they lead the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 56-42 overall and have won two straight games. Their two-game winning streak has come after losing four straight games.

So far, the Brewers have gone 21-12 in divisional games, and they are 29-17 at home compared to 27-25 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 33-21 this year and 23-21 as the underdog. The Brewers have won two straight games as the road underdog.

The Brewers have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 51-47 against the run line. They are 28-24 vs. the run line on the road, and their average run differential in all games is +0.8 runs per game. They have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 29-15 vs. the run line in those games.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers have played to the over in 53 of their 94 games this season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. The over has hit in three straight games for Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is sending Aaron Civale to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 2-7 and an ERA of 4.94. So far, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .263 this year. Out of his 19 appearances, Civale has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.97 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, Willy Adames is on a four-game hitting streak and has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/20 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. For the season, Adames is batting .249 with a team-high 15 homers and 67 RBIs, which is 6th best in the league. William Contreras is also among the team’s top power threats, as his 11 home runs is 3rd on the team, and he has driven in 56 runs.

As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in home runs and are batting a collective .255. They are also one of the league’s best teams at getting on base, with a team on-base percentage of .332, which is 2nd best in the MLB. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest.

Twins Records & Stats

With an overall record of 54-43, the Twins are five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 19-13 in divisional matchups. The Twins have dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 44-25 as the favorite and 23-16 when favored at home.

Minnesota has been solid on the road this year, going 27-24, and they are 27-19 when playing at home. The Twins’ overall series record is 19-10-2, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games overall.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 46-51 overall. They have been better on the road, going 28-23 compared to 18-28 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 15-13 compared to 31-38 as a favorite. Their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, and they have gone over the run line in four straight games.

The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Milwaukee Brewers tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-47. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-14-2. So far this season, 39.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 37.1% have had lines set below 8 runs.

Minnesota is sending Joe Ryan to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.53. Looking back at his last outing, Ryan took the loss vs. the Giants, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00, and opponents are batting .217 vs. Ryan this year. He has made 19 appearances this year and 11 have been quality starts. Per nine innings, Ryan is averaging 9.73 strikeouts and just 1.49 walks.

Carlos Correa has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, as he comes into the game batting .308 with 13 homers and 47 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are tied for the team lead with 14 homers, but both are looking to improve their batting averages, with Jeffers hitting just .233 and Santana at .244. Over his last six games, Santana has gone just 4/20.

As a team, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs. Overall, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.