Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/20/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Astros and Mariners face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Astros are slight money line favorites, with their line sitting at +100 compared to the Mariners at -118.
George Kirby will be on the mound for the Mariners, and he will be facing off against Framber Valdez and the Astros, who are 1st in the AL West with a record of 51-46. The Mariners are currently on a four-game losing streak. RSNW will be televising this game.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -118
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Saturday, July 20th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 7 to 6
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Houston picked up a 3-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a three-run 3rd inning and didn’t score another run after that. On the other side, the Mariners had scoring opportunities in the 4th and 5th innings but couldn’t push across a run.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Luis Castillo, as he gave up just three runs in seven innings of work for the Mariners. Hunter Brown started for the Astros and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run.
Yainer Diaz was the only Astros hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with two RBIs. Victor Robles had a two-hit game for the Mariners.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros and Mariners are currently tied for the AL West lead, and they each have an overall record of 51-46. The Astros will be on the road for today’s game, and they are 28-21 at home this season compared to 23-25 on the road. So far, they have gone 17-14 in AL West matchups.
Houston has an overall series record of 17-12-1 this season, and they are 38-33 as the favorite. As for how they have fared as the underdog, the Astros are 13-13 this year. They have also been playing well lately, going 6-4 over their last ten games.
When the Astros are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they have gone 25-23 this season. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game overall. They have been even better at covering the run line at home, going 26-23.
Despite an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game, the Astros have played to the under in 55 of their 93 games this season. They have hit the under in their last three games and have a 0-4 record when the over/under line is set at 7 runs. In fact, 95.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.66 ERA. Valdez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28, and he has a batting average allowed of .258. In his last outing, Valdez went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts. Valdez has one complete game and 10 quality starts this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.51 strikeouts and 2.93 walks.
Currently, the Astros are the best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Houston’s offense is also tough to strike out, as they are 3rd in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are both in the top 10 in the league in home runs, with Alvarez leading the team with 19 homers and Tucker right behind him. Alex Bregman has been hot of late, going 13/39 in his last 10 games with three homers. Jose Altuve is also swinging a good bat, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .305 for the season.
Mariners Records & Stats
With a record of 52-47, the Mariners are in 2nd place in the AL West, and they trail the Astros by five games for the division lead. The Mariners have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak has come after winning four in a row. Seattle is 18-9 against other teams in the AL West this year.
At home, the Mariners are 30-19, and they are just under .500 on the road at 22-28. So far, the Mariners have been good as the underdog, putting together a mark of 19-19. As the favorite, Seattle is 33-28 this year, and their two-game win streak as the underdog is the best this year.
Seattle is 44-55 on the run line this season, with a 22-27 mark at home. The Mariners have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game this season, with a +0.5 mark at home. Seattle has covered the run line in 21 of 38 games as the underdog this season.
Seattle has played 67 games with over/under lines over 7 runs, which is 67.7% of their games. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-53. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 8-15-4. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and they are currently on a 3-game under streak.
Seattle is starting right-hander George Kirby vs. the Astros today. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 7-7. Kirby’s ERA is 3.29, along with a WHIP of .99. In his 20 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Kirby took the loss vs. the Angels, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-2 and a 3.5 ERA compared to 2-5 with a 4.13 ERA on the road.
Seattle’s offense has really struggled this season, as they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. The Mariners have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .218, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have the 10th most home runs in the league.
Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh have been two of the team’s top power threats this season, with 10 and 20 home runs, respectively. Over the team’s last 10 games, both players have been red hot, with Raleigh batting .317 and Rodriguez hitting .483. Rodriguez is also on a three-game hitting streak.