Planning on watching today's Penguins and Raiders game? Catch the action at Nutter Center in Dayton, OH, as the Raiders hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 164 points, and Wright State is favored by -2.5 to win at home against Youngstown State.


The Pick: Wright State Raiders -2.5

This game will be played at Nutter Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Raiders.
  • Not only will Wright State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 164 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Youngstown State will be looking to extend their three-game win streak when they take on Wright State. So far, the Penguins have gone 16-6 and 8-2 in Horizon League play. As the underdog, Youngstown State has gone 1-5 this season.

Over their last 10 games on the road, the Penguins have gone 5-5. For the season, they have gone 5-5 on the road compared to 7-0 at home. In their last game, Youngstown State beat Northern Kentucky by a score of 82-52.

Youngstown State has been a solid bet vs. the spread this season, going 11-6 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-4, and over their last three road games, they are 3-0 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Penguins have gone 3-3 vs. the spread this year and have a 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Youngstown State's over/under record this season is 6-10-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 146.5 points. Today's over/under line is set at 164, and their average over/under line for the season is 149.3 points. So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line, and their last three games have had an average scoring total of 143 points.

In their recent game, the Penguins' offense concluded with 82 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 81.7 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Ziggy Reid, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 14.2, while Brandon Rush also maintains a PPG average of 12.6 leading up to the game.

At this time, the Penguins' defense is positioned 95th in the country, permitting 68.5 points per game. In today's game vs. Wright State, the Youngstown State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Youngstown State made 19 free-throws vs. the Penguins.

Can the Raiders Hold Strong at Home?

Wright State comes into this game with a 12-10 record, including a 6-4 mark in Horizon League play. The Raiders have won two straight games, including an 83-76 victory over IUPUI.

At home this season, Wright State is 6-4, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at the Nutter Center. Overall, the Raiders have been favored in 12 of their 22 games, going 7-5 as the favorite.

As the favorite this season, Wright State has gone 5-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Raiders have a mark of 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Wright State games is 13-5-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 158.6 and their games have averaged 167.1 points. Today's over/under line of 164 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 180 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Wright State's offense scored 83 points against IUPUI. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.1%, and they went 23/26 from the free-throw line. Currently leading the team in scoring is Trey Calvin who comes into today's matchup averaging 20. Tanner Holden also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.6.

So far, the Raiders' defense is ranked 310th in the country at 81.1 points per contest. The Wright State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed IUPUI to connect on 2 threes.