You can catch this week's 1 CFB game between the Badgers and Tigers on ESPN2 at 12:00 (1/1/24). The matchup will take place at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa (FL). The Tigers are the 12 favorites to come away with the win in this non-conference matchup. Are they the best play on the spread? Keep reading to see how I think this one plays out in Tampa.


The Pick: Wisconsin Badgers +12

This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 12:00 ET on Monday, January 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 34-22 in favor of LSU.
  • Even though we have LSU winning straight-up, we like Wisconsin at +12.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 55 points, and we like the over with a projected 56 points.

Can The Badgers Secure a Road Victory?

So far, the Wisconsin Badgers are 7-5, including going 3-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.

Wisconsin's average scoring differential for the season is +3.9 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5-1. The Badgers have been favored nine times and the underdog in one games

So far in this season, Wisconsin has posted an over/under record of 3-7. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 41.8 points, with the typical over/under line set at 47.3 points.

Wisconsin's offense has put up an average of 22.8 points per game, placing them 80th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they've gained 207 passing yards on average, ranking 88th in the nation. On the ground, they're holding the 62nd position in rushing yards, with 419 rushing attempts per game this season.

The Badgers defense heads into this week's matchup with 29 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they've allowed 18.9 points per game (64th). In the pass defense department, they're 44th nationally, giving up 193.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Wisconsin's defense is allowing 139.6 rushing yards per contest.

Can the Tigers Pull Off a Home Win?

The LSU Tigers take on the Wisconsin with a 9-3 record, including 2-3 on the road and 6-0 at home.

Against the spread, LSU has gone 7-4 this season. The Tigers have been favored 10 times compared to one game as the underdog.

Heading into this week's game, LSU's over/under record is 10-1. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +11.0 with their games averaging 74.2 points per game.

On offense, the Tigers come in with the 57th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 334.3 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 68th in terms of attempts.

This season, the Tigers' defense has allowed 165 rushing yards per contest, placing them 104th. Opponents are averaging 245.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 90.4 when facing LSU. They currently hold the 42nd spot in NCAA points allowed.