The Tribe and Midshipmen are set to face off at 12:00 ET on ESPN+. The Midshipmen will host the game at Alumni Hall (Navy) in Annapolis, MD. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 138 points, with the Midshipmen being the favored team playing at home against the Tribe.


The Pick: William & Mary Tribe +5

This game will be played at Alumni Hall (Navy) at 12:00 ET on Saturday, December 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Midshipmen.
  • Even though we have Navy winning straight-up, we like William & Mary at +5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Tribe Lock in a Win at Annapolis?

Today, William & Mary will be playing against Navy with a record of 5-7. In the previous ten road games, William & Mary has a 0-10 record, which includes games played last year. As of now, William & Mary has a losing ATS record, sitting at 4-6. In their last ten games, William & Mary has gone 1-3 vs. the spread.

William & Mary's games have, on average, featured 155.4 points per game leading to an over/under record of 7-3-0. Their average over/under line is currently 144 points so far. In their most recent three games, the Tribe's over/under record is 1-1, with their games averaging 146 points per game.

The William & Mary offense is coming off a game where they scored 59 points against Pepperdine. They posted a field goal percentage of 40% and connected on 6 threes. Gabe Dorsey is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.5 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Trey Moss brings a PPG average of 14.3 into the game.

On defense, William & Mary is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.8 points per game. The William & Mary defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed Pepperdine to connect on 5 threes.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Midshipmen?

Navy enters today's game against William & Mary with a 3-7 overall record. On the road, the Midshipmen are winless at 0-6, while they have a 2-1 record at home. As of today, Navy holds a 5-4 ATS record. In their previous five games, they are a perfect 4-0 vs. the spread.

So far, Navy's games have averaged 131.1 points per game with the average over/under line being 135.1 points. When analyzing the Midshipmen's last five games, they have produced a combined average of 137 points per game and an over/under record of 2-1-1.

In their most recent game, the Navy offense concluded with only 65 points against Youngstown State. Throughout the game, they made 6/18 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Leading the team in scoring is Austin Benigni, who is averaging 12 heading into today's matchup. Additionally, Donovan Draper also maintains a PPG average of 9.6 heading into game.

So far, the Midshipmen's defense is ranked 25th in the country at 63.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.5 threes per game vs. William & Mary. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 22.8%.