Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
ESPN+ will be covering the matchup between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the New Mexico State Aggies as the game kicks off at 6:00 ET from Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces. The Hilltoppers are favored by -18 points, and the over/under line is currently set at 52 points. Western Kentucky comes in with a 6-2 record, while New Mexico State is 2-6 for the season.
WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS VS NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -18
This game will be played at Aggie Memorial Stadium at 6:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS:
- We have the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers winning this one by a score of 39 to 18
- Not only do we have the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -18
- Look for this game to go over the line of 52 points
Will The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Win As Road Favorites?
Western Kentucky heads into Week 11 with a 6-2 record, ranked 86th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 41.1% chance of winning Conference USA. On the road, they are 2-2, while they are undefeated at home with a 2-0 record.
Against the spread, the Hilltoppers are 5-1, with a +7.6 average scoring margin. They are 2-0 ATS as favorites and have covered in three of four games as underdogs. Their home ATS record is 2-0, and they are 3-1 on the road.
Western Kentucky’s over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 50.4 points. Their average over/under line is 55.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 52 points.
Western Kentucky’s offense is averaging 29 points per game, placing them 51st in the nation, and they are ranked 50th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their passing game is the focal point, averaging 278.8 yards per game, ranking 35th nationally. They are 32nd in completions, with 22.5 per game, and 48th in attempts, averaging 33 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 41.1%.
Caden Veltkamp leads the Hilltoppers with 1,704 passing yards and a passer rating of 118. He has completed 70.4% of his passes, throwing 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Western Kentucky ranks 14th in completion percentage and 17th in passer rating. On the ground, they are 99th in rushing, averaging 132.1 yards per game. Elijah Young leads the team with 489 rushing yards. Kisean Johnson has 557 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 21.4 points per game this season, ranking 23rd nationally. In their recent game against Kennesaw State, they gave up just 14 points, allowing 272 total yards, including 176 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 96 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opponents have averaged 167 rushing yards per game against Western Kentucky, with 209.4 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 60.5% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 87.9 against the Hilltoppers’ defense.
Are The New Mexico State Aggies Going Win In At Upset At Aggie Memorial Stadium
New Mexico State enters Week 11 with a 2-6 record, facing Western Kentucky at home. They are ranked 133rd in our CFB power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible for the rest of the season.
The Aggies have been underdogs in all eight games this season, with an average scoring margin of -17 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 1-5, and they are 0-4 against the spread on the road but 1-1 at home.
New Mexico State’s over/under record is 4-1-1, with their games averaging 56.2 points. This week’s line is set at 52 points, compared to their average line of 50.1 points.
New Mexico State’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 130th in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 19.6 points per game, placing them 93rd nationally. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 115 passing yards per game, ranking 124th. They are 104th in third-down conversions, converting 33.6% of their attempts, and their passer rating is the worst in the country.
Parker Awad, the team’s quarterback, has thrown for 518 yards with a passer rating of 62. He has four touchdowns and three interceptions, completing 43.5% of his passes. On the ground, New Mexico State averages 170.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 37th in rushing attempts. Seth McGowan leads the team with 523 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
New Mexico State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.6 points per game. In their recent game against FIU, they gave up 34 points, including four passing touchdowns, while allowing 338 passing yards. However, they held FIU to 102 rushing yards on 32 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 239 passing yards per game against New Mexico State, completing 55.7% of their passes. On the ground, the Aggies have allowed 217 rushing yards per game, ranking 165th nationally.