UCF Knights vs Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
ESPN2 is handling the TV broadcast as the Arizona State Sun Devils host the UCF Knights in a week 11 matchup. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. The Sun Devils are -3 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 55.5 points. UCF enters the game with a 4-5 record, while Arizona State is 6-2 on the season.
UCF KNIGHTS VS ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UCF Knights +3
This game will be played at Mountain America Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE UCF KNIGHTS:
- We have the Arizona State Sun Devils winning this one by a score of 28 to 26
- Even though we like the Arizona State Sun Devils to win, our ATS pick is to take the UCF Knights at +3
- We see this game finishing below the line of 55.5 points
Will The UCF Knights Pick Up A Win On The Road?
UCF enters Week 11 against Arizona State with a 4-5 record, ranked 39th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 56.1% chance of reaching bowl eligibility but no shot at the Big 12 title. The Knights are 2-3 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
UCF’s ATS record is 4-4, with a +7.8 average scoring margin. They are 2-1 against the spread on the road and 2-3 at home. As favorites, they’ve gone 2-3 ATS, but they are 2-0 as underdogs.
So far, UCF’s over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 58.7 points. Their average over/under line is 56.9 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.
UCF’s offense is centered around their run game, as they rank second in the nation with 272.3 rushing yards per game and third in rushing attempts. RJ Harvey has been the standout performer, amassing 1,201 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, while averaging 7 yards per carry. The Knights are scoring 33.2 points per game, placing them 27th nationally, and they are ranked 31st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.
Quarterback KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,012 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96. UCF ranks 73rd in passing attempts per game, averaging 198.8 yards through the air. Kobe Hudson leads the receiving corps with 567 yards and three touchdowns.
UCF’s defense played a key role in their 56-12 win over Arizona, allowing just 12 points and limiting the Wildcats to 14 first downs. Arizona managed only 5 rushing yards on 25 attempts, while UCF’s secondary gave up 256 passing yards and two touchdowns.
On the season, UCF ranks 42nd nationally in rushing yards allowed per game (119.7) and 131st in passing yards allowed (248.2). Opposing quarterbacks have completed 66.9% of their passes against UCF, the 149th highest percentage in college football.
Will The Arizona State Sun Devils Win At Home Over The UCF Knights?
Arizona State enters Week 11 against UCF with a 6-2 record and a perfect 4-0 mark at home. They are guaranteed bowl eligibility and have a 2.2% chance of winning the Big 12. The Sun Devils are ranked 38th in our power rankings.
Arizona State has been favored in four games this season, going 4-0 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is +8.2 points per game, and they are 6-2 against the spread, covering in all four games as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Arizona State’s over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging 54 points and an average line of 53.4 points.
Arizona State’s offense is averaging 31.1 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 36th in the nation. However, they rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is the focal point, with 218.2 rushing yards per game on 42.1 attempts.
Cam Skattebo has rushed for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,470 yards and 11 touchdowns with four interceptions. Arizona State is converting 45% of their third downs.
Arizona State’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 30th nationally by allowing just 22.9 points per game. In their recent win over Oklahoma State, they gave up 21 points while holding the Cowboys to 271 total yards, including 85 rushing yards on 23 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 115.1 rushing yards per game against Arizona State, while quarterbacks have posted a 78.1 passer rating, completing 58.3% of their throws for an average of 209.5 yards per game.