Looking to win big? The Leathernecks and Lions face off at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The Lions are hosting the game at Hyland Arena in Saint Charles, MO. Western Illinois is favored by -4 in this Ohio Valley conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 130.5 points.

WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS VS LINDENWOOD LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Western Illinois Leathernecks -4

This game will be played at Hyland Arena at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 1st.

WHY BET THE WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-71 in favor of the Leathernecks.
  • Not only will Western Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Do the Leathernecks Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

Western Illinois heads into this game as the favorite, as they have been in five of their six games this season. They come in with a record of 13-8, including a 6-2 mark in Ohio Valley Conference play.

On the road this season, the Leathernecks have gone 6-6, and over their last 10 road games, they have a record of 6-4. They are coming off a 64-50 loss to Morehead State.

This season, Western Illinois has an ATS record of 9-8, including a mark of 7-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the favorite, the Leathernecks are 4-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Western Illinois has gone 5-5.

Western Illinois' over/under record for the season sits at 4-13 and their games have averaged 133.4 points. Today's over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (139.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2. On the year, their games have finished with more points than today's OU line in nine contests.

The Western Illinois offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 50 points versus Morehead State. During the game, they attempted 17 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 29%. James Dent Jr. is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 13.4 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Ryan Myers brings a PPG average of 13.4 into the game.

At present, the Leathernecks' defense is nationally ranked 42nd, allowing 65.4 points per game. Against Morehead State in their most recent game, the Western Illinois defense gave up a total of 64 points while allowing Morehead State to hit 43% of their shots.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Lions?

Despite being the underdog, Lindenwood has been the underdog in 17 of their 22 games this season. They have gone 4-13 in those games, including a 1-5 record at home. So far this season, they have an overall record of 8-14, including a 2-7 record in Ohio Valley Conference play.

Lindenwood is coming off a 58-54 win over Southeast Missouri State. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5. On the season, they have an average scoring margin of -8.0 points per game at home compared to -12.1 on the road.

As the underdog, Lindenwood has gone 7-10 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is 8-11. At home, the Lions are just 2-4 vs. the spread this year and have gone 2-4-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 4-6 in their last 10 games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Lindenwood games is 7-12 and today's over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 140.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

The Lindenwood offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 58 points versus Southeast Missouri State. During the game, they attempted 11 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 35.1%. The team's scoring leader is Keenon Cole, who holds an average of 18.8 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Darius Beane is averaging 12.7 points per game this season.

In terms of defense, Lindenwood is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.8 points per game. In today's game vs. Western Illinois, the Lindenwood defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Lindenwood made 17 free-throws vs. the Lions.