Planning on watching today's Mountaineers and Horned Frogs game? Catch the action at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX, as the Horned Frogs hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 149.5 points, and TCU is favored by -12.5 to win at home against West Virginia.

WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +12.5

This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 8:00 ET on Monday, February 12th.

WHY BET THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Horned Frogs.
  • Even though we have TCU winning straight-up, we like West Virginia at +12.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can West Virginia Secure a Road Victory?

West Virginia heads into their matchup against TCU as 12.5-point underdogs. So far this season, the Mountaineers have gone 3-12 when listed as the underdog. They are also 0-6 on the road, where they have been outscored by an average of 17.2 points per game.

In their last outing, West Virginia fell to Texas by a score of 94-58. Over their last 10 road games, the Mountaineers have gone just 1-9.

West Virginia has not been a good bet against the spread this season, going 9-14. Their road ATS mark is just 1-5 and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. As the underdog, the Mountaineers are just 5-10 vs. the spread this year and they are 1-4 in their last 5 games as the underdog.

So far this season, the over/under record for West Virginia games is 12-11. On average, their games have finished with 141.8 points, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 141.3. Over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 147 points.

Most recently, the West Virginia offense finished with just 58 points vs. Texas. For the game, they hit 3/13 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 38.2%. The top scorer for the Mountaineers was Jesse Edwards with 17 points, while Noah Farrakhan also chipped in with 11 points.

West Virginia's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.7 threes per game vs. TCU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.9%.

Does TCU Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

After losing their last two games, TCU will look to get back on track when they host West Virginia. So far this season, the Horned Frogs have gone 10-4 at home, compared to 6-3 on the road. TCU is 14-4 when favored, and they have been favored 18 times this year.

TCU's average scoring margin at home is +14.1, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home. The Horned Frogs' overall record this season is 16-7, and they are 5-5 in Big 12 play. Their average scoring margin on the road is +5.4. In their last game, TCU lost to Iowa State by a score of 71-59.

TCU has an ATS record of 13-10 this season and they are 7-7 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Horned Frogs have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 149.5 is similar to the average over/under line in TCU's games this season (149.1). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 145 points.

In contrast to their season average of 81.8 points per game, the TCU had a below average performance. They scored 59 points against Iowa State and had a field goal percentage of 44.2%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Horned Frogs offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 18.2 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.

Currently, the Horned Frogs' defense holds the 149th rank in the nation, allowing 71.1 points per game. The TCU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed Iowa State to connect on 8 threes.