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<p>Betting on today's Wolverines and Fighting Hawks game? Catch the action at Betty Engelstad Sioux Center in Grand Forks, ND, as the Fighting Hawks hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on Summ. Utah Valley is favored by -6 in this non-conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 145.5 points.</p><h3>UTAH VALLEY WOLVERINES VS NORTH DAKOTA FIGHTING HAWKS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +6</p><p>This game will be played at Betty Engelstad Sioux Center at 1:00 ET on Thursday, November 14th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE NORTH DAKOTA FIGHTING HAWKS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-66 in favor of the Fighting Hawks.</li><li>Not only will North Dakota pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.</li></ul><h3>Will Utah Valley Make it Happen on the Road?</h3><p>Utah Valley kicked off their season with a dominant 89-60 win over UTEP on Saturday. Playing at home, the Wolverines were slight favorites at -1 and covered the spread with ease. The game’s total points of 149 went over the pre-game line of 143.5.</p> <p>Utah Valley took control early, leading 43-28 at halftime. They continued to pour it on in the second half, outscoring UTEP 46-32 to seal the win.</p><p>Utah Valley's offense was firing on all cylinders, putting up 89 points with a 52% field goal percentage. They connected on 11 of 21 three-pointers, shooting 52.4% from deep, and their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 64%.</p> <p>The Wolverines also made 31 of 43 free throws (72.1%) and dished out 25 assists. Dominick Nelson led the way with 21 points and 8 rebounds, while Tanner Toolson added 16 points, hitting 4 of 7 from beyond the arc.</p><p>Utah Valley's defense gave up 60 points in their last game, allowing the opposition to shoot 52% from the field. They hit 15 of 29 two-point attempts, good for 51%.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, the opposing team made 11 of 21 threes, shooting 52%. Utah Valley also sent them to the line 43 times, where they converted 31 free throws at a 72% rate. The Wolverines allowed 9 offensive rebounds.</p><h3>Will North Dakota Pull Through as the Underdog Home Team?</h3><h3>North Dakota Fighting Hawks Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>North Dakota’s season opener didn’t go as planned, as they fell 82-56 on the road to Colorado State on Monday. The Fighting Hawks entered the game as +17.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread.</p> 

<p>North Dakota trailed 39-22 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 34 points while allowing 43. The total points for the game were 138, just under the O/U line of 143.</p><p>North Dakota struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 56 points on 35.4% shooting from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 41.7%. They hit only 31.2% of their three-point attempts, going 5-for-16 from deep, and managed just 5 offensive rebounds and 5 assists as a team.</p> <p>Nique Clifford was a bright spot, leading the way with 20 points and 14 rebounds, shooting 9-for-12 overall and 2-for-3 from beyond the arc. Keshawn Williams added 14 points on 6-of-9 shooting, while Treysen Eaglestaff contributed 12 points, also hitting 2-of-3 from three-point range.</p><p>North Dakota's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 82 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 58% from the field. The Fighting Hawks had a tough time defending inside, where they allowed 31 of 43 two-point shots to fall, a 72% conversion rate.</p> <p>On the perimeter, North Dakota fared better, holding the opposition to 23% shooting from beyond the arc, with just 4 made threes on 17 attempts. They also sent the other team to the line 19 times, where they hit 8 free throws, shooting 42%. The Fighting Hawks limited second-chance opportunities, giving up just 5 offensive rebounds.</p>

Utah Valley Wolverines vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/14/24

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This article is intended to give a sense of clarity to those who bet on, or would like to bet on, baseball. Betting on baseball does require a slightly different skill-set than betting with a point spread, but in general there are the same risk/reward consequences. The laws of probability still apply.

When we bet on a football game using a point spread we are typically paying a vigorish, or vig, of 10%. That's the number (-110) that implies a <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sports-betting-odds-how-to-win-and-beat-the-vig/"><strong>52.38 win percentage</strong></a>, or the number of bets one needs to win in order to break even.

Since baseball does not have a point spread per se, we are almost exclusively using a <a href="http://bangthebook.com/spread-moneyline-calculator/"><strong>money-line</strong></a> when we bet on a team to win.

Of course most games are not the standard -110 that people are more familiar with. When a great team with a great pitcher is playing a weak team with a weak pitcher, the money-line, or price you pay to bet on that team to win, can be as high as -300 (or higher). That means two things. First, you are risking $300 to make $100. Secondly, the win probability jumps to 75%, meaning that to keep your bankroll 100% in tact you must win 75% of those bets.

Conversely, the underdog in that scenario would only have an implied 25% chance of winning, according to the market, which as we know is all driven by money coming in on one side or the other. The upside of betting on the underdog in that scenario is that you would be risking $100 to make $300. That also implies you need only to win 25% of your bets to break even.

But wait, there's more. The bookmakers don't offer you a price of +300.  If the favorite in that scenario is -300, the best price you can generally find on the underdog is +280. Quite often some of the more recreational bookmakers might only offer you +260, which is why you hear over and over that you need to shop around, or "have more outs", to put it into gambling jargon. Bookmakers price things to their advantage, not ours.

Giving away .20 of your bet before you start is a sure way to lose money over a period of time. It's the dictionary definition of "leaving money on the table", and winning is hard enough already. Shopping for the best price is more often than not time better spent than thinking about who you're going to buy, or bet on as this case may me.

Think about it this way, especially if you're familiar with betting on football. If New England is a -3 favorite over Atlanta, the money-line, or cost to bet on the Patriots just to win, regardless of by how many, is -150. That implies a 60% win probability, meaning you've got to win 60% of the time to just break even. It doesn't sound like much more than 52.38%, but it's a staggering difference.

It's all math. If New England is a -6 favorite then betting on the Patriots to simply win the game is going to cost -300, or a $300 risk to win $100. Or, just as in the baseball example, it's an implied win rate of 75%. Of course, taking Atlanta to win the game outright is exactly the same as taking the baseball team to win that's got an implied win rate of 25% - it's only going to cost you $100 to win $280.

That's the simple answer. But, just like football or any other sport with a point spread, that number is fluid and not a static.

The market may open a baseball team at -140, or an implied win rate of 58.3%. As the money comes into the market, that number (cost) moves just as a point spread would. The bookmakers adjust the price based on their exposure, and the number could go either way, and often many times during the betting cycle. Once you've made up your mind as to what team you want to bet on, the onus is on you to find the best price. The onus is on you to anticipate what the market will or won't do.

This chart is an example of a recent betting cycle of a baseball game between Kansas City (the favorite) and the White Sox. Currently, you can buy the White Sox to win at +107, or bet $100 to make $107.

<img class="size-medium wp-image-403450 aligncenter" src="http://bangthebook.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/unnamed-300x80.png" alt="MLB Betting Lines" width="300" height="80" />

That's all well and good, but you could have had them at +124, or have bet $100 to make $124. Over the long haul, that's a lot of money to leave on the table.

Additionally, this chart is just one <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bookmaker/"><strong>bookmaker</strong></a>. As I am writing there are options ranging from +100 at Bovada/Bodog (a very recreational bookmaker) to +107 at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/5dimes/"><strong>5Dimes</strong></a> (another recreational bookmaker) to +105 at Pinnacle Sports, considered by many to be a very sharp, or "professional" bookmaker.

The bottom line to betting money-lines in baseball (or any sport) is that you once you've decided who you're betting on (or against) is to invest your money in the right place at the right time so as to increase the return on your investment, or, decrease the risk, depending on your perspective.

Dave Essler is a professional handicapper at Pregame, featured on ESPN, CNN, &amp; Fox Sports.

MLB Money Line Betting

<p>Planning on watching today's Bulldogs and Bulls game? Catch the action at Alumni Arena in Buffalo, NY, as the Bulls hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. In this non-conference matchup, Bryant is favored by -4.5 against Buffalo. The over/under for the game is 162.5 points.</p><h3>BRYANT BULLDOGS VS BUFFALO BULLS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Buffalo Bulls +4.5</p><p>This game will be played at Alumni Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, November 14th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE BUFFALO BULLS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Bulls.</li><li>Not only will Buffalo pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 162.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.</li></ul><h3>Can Bryant Pull Off a Road Win?</h3><h3>Bryant Bulldogs Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Bryant dropped a 90-88 decision to Siena on Friday, November 8th. The Bulldogs, playing at home, were -11.5 point favorites going into the game but failed to cover the spread.</p> 

<p>After leading 48-43 at halftime, Bryant was outscored 38-33 in the 2nd half. The total points for the game reached 178, surpassing the O/U line of 148.5.</p><p>In their latest game, the Bryant Bulldogs put up 88 points, shooting 44.8% from the field and 40.9% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 51.7%, and they hit 27 of 37 free throws, good for 73%.</p> <p>Rafael Pinzon led the way with 33 points, connecting on 5 of 9 threes, while Justice Shoats added 31 points, hitting both of his attempts from deep. The Bulldogs also grabbed 16 offensive rebounds and dished out 16 assists in the win.</p><p>Even with the Bryant Bulldogs allowing 90 points, they held their opponent to 44% shooting from the field, with 26 made baskets on 58 attempts. Inside the arc, the Bulldogs gave up 17 two-point field goals on 36 attempts, a 47% shooting rate.</p> <p>From three-point range, Bryant's defense allowed 9 made threes on 22 attempts, with the opponent shooting 40%. The Bulldogs also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 37 times, where they converted 27 free throws, shooting 73%. Bryant allowed 16 offensive rebounds in the game.</p><h3>Can the Bulls Hold Strong at Home?</h3><h3>Buffalo Bulls Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Buffalo’s season opener on Monday saw them fall 86-77 to Notre Dame. Despite being +23.5 point underdogs, the Bulls kept it closer than expected.</p> 

<p>Buffalo led 40-38 at halftime but allowed 48 points in the 2nd half while scoring 37. The game’s total points of 163 exceeded the O/U line of 147.5.</p><p>In their latest game, the Bulls put up 77 points, shooting 42.9% from the field and 32.4% from beyond the arc, hitting 11 of 34 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 51.4%, and they struggled at the free-throw line, connecting on just 6 of 11 attempts (54.5%).</p> <p>Buffalo dished out 16 assists and grabbed 8 offensive rebounds. Tae Davis led the way with 27 points, while Markus Burton and Braeden Shrewsberry each added 19. Ben Michaels contributed 14 points, hitting 4 of 7 from deep, and Bryson Wilson pulled down a team-high 13 rebounds.</p><p>Buffalo's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 86 points on 50% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposing team to hit 64% of their two-point attempts, with 25 makes on 39 tries.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, Buffalo held their opponent to 25% shooting, as they went 5/20 from three-point range. The Bulls also sent the other team to the line 27 times, where they connected on 21 free throws for 77%.</p>

Bryant Bulldogs vs Buffalo Bulls NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/14/24

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 4/24/24

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 4/24/24

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick & Prediction 4/24/24

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 4/24/24

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/24/24

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 4/23/24

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick & Prediction 4/23/24

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/23/24

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/23/24

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/23/24

<p>Don't miss out on the NBA showdown between the Pelicans and Warriors. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on ABC, and it's hosted by the Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The Pelicans are the favorites in this Western conference matchup the against the Warriors. The over/under for the game is set at 233 points.</p><h3>NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans -1</p><p>This game will be played at Chase Center at 8:30 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-112 in favor of the Pelicans.</li><li>Our projections have Brandon Ingram finishing with Brandon Ingram points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.</li><li>From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 13 threes.</li></ul><h3>Can the Pelicans Offense Score Enough in San Francisco?</h3><p>Heading into today's game, the Pelicans are 22-15 overall and are currently 6th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-2 compared to 15-13 against other Western Conference teams.</p>

<p>On the road, the Pelicans have won six straight games and are 10-7 this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.3 points per game, and they have an ATS record of 9-8 on the road.</p>

<p>When it comes to being favored, the Pelicans have a record of 12-8 and have won three straight games as the favorite. Their average scoring margin in these games is 6.4 points per game. Overall, they have an ATS record of 21-16.</p>

<p>So far, 17 of the Pelicans' 37 games have seen them listed as the underdog, and they have an underdog record of 10-7. Their average scoring margin in these games is 1.6 points per game.</p>

<p>The Pelicans' O/U record for the season is 17-20, and their last two games have gone under the over/under line. On average, their games have seen a combined 227.4 points per game.</p><p>So far this season, the Pelicans are averaging 115.8 points per game, which is 12th in the league. However, when playing on the road, they are scoring slightly more at 116.1 points per game.</p>

<p>When it comes to pace, the Pelicans are 19th in the NBA at 98.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 8th in the league at 48%. This has helped them to a top-10 ranking in true shooting percentage.</p>

<p>When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pelicans have been attempting the 28th most threes in the NBA, but they are 7th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. Overall, they are 9th in assists and 14th in offensive rebounds.</p><p>Coming into today's game, the Pelicans' defense is giving up an average of 111.6 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Pelicans are causing 13 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 21st in rejections, averaging 4.9 blocked shots each game.</p><h3>Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?</h3><p>Golden State is 17-19 overall and 16-19 against the spread. In the Western Conference, they are 11-15 compared to 6-4 in non-conference games. At home, the Warriors are 11-10 straight up and 7-13 ATS.</p>

<p>As the underdog, Golden State is 3-11 straight up and 9-4 ATS. They have failed to cover the spread in their last two games and have an average scoring margin of -1.6 points per game as the underdog.</p>

<p>When playing on the road, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +1.4 points per game and are 9-6 ATS. At home, their scoring margin is -0.7 points per game.</p>

<p>So far, 22 of Golden State's 36 games have seen them listed as the favorite. They have gone 14-8 in those games and are 7-15 ATS. Their current ATS losing streak as the favorite is two games.</p>

<p>On average, the Warriors' games have seen a combined 234.1 points scored per game. Their over/under record for the season is 20-15-1. In games with over/under lines lower than today's line of 233, Golden State is 11-9-1 O/U.</p><p>The Warriors' offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 117.1 points per game (10th). They have been a better offensive team on the road (118.3 PPG) compared to at home (116.3 PPG).</p>

<p>Golden State has been a high-volume three-point shooting team, ranking 4th in both three-point attempts (40.1) and makes (14.8) per game. Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc (15th).</p>

<p>When it comes to two-point shooting, the Warriors are 19th in the league at 53%. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 23rd at 46%.</p><p>On defense, the Warriors come into the game ranked 21st in the league in points allowed at 116.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 124 points per contest (20th). In the terms of takeaways, Warriors are causing 14.2 turnovers per game, ranking 25th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 28th in rejections, averaging 3.6 blocked shots each game.</p>

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 1/10/24

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<p>Don't miss out on the NHL showdown between the Blackhawks and Kraken. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 5.5 goals, and the Kraken are -1.5 goal favorite to win at home against the Blackhawks.</p><h3>CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS VS SEATTLE KRAKEN BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Seattle Kraken -1.5</p><p>This game will be played at Climate Pledge Arena at 10:00 ET on Thursday, November 14th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SEATTLE KRAKEN:</h3><ul><li>Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 3-2 win for the Blackhawks.</li><li>We like the Blackhawks on the moneyline (+136)</li><li>The Blackhawks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5</li></ul><h3>Do the Blackhawks Have a Shot at a Win at Seattle?</h3><p>With a 4-2 win over the Ducks, Chicago improved to 6-9-1 this season. The Blackhawks covered the puck line as underdogs, and the total of 6 goals fell just short of the 6.5-goal line.</p> 

<p>Chicago built a 4-0 lead before the Ducks got on the board. Four different players scored for the Blackhawks in the game.</p><p>Chicago's offense netted four goals in their 4-2 victory over the Ducks, with Ryan Donato scoring his 7th goal of the season. Seth Jones added his second goal, while Teuvo Teravainen picked up his 4th, and Isaak Phillips scored for the first time this season.</p> <p>The Blackhawks fired 29 shots on goal and scored twice on power plays. They recorded 12 giveaways and tallied eight assists, with Connor Bedard contributing two, bringing his season total to nine.</p><p>Chicago's defense gave up two goals in their last game, both in the 3rd period. The first came at the 9:44 mark, and the second was a power-play goal with just 4 seconds left. Arvid Söderblom made 38 saves, finishing with a 95% save percentage. The Blackhawks' defense also had 6 takeaways and 5 hits.</p><h3>Will the Kraken Defense Show Up at Home?</h3><p>With a 2-0 loss to the Bruins, the Kraken fell to 7-8-1 this season. Seattle’s defense allowed both goals in the first period, and their offense couldn’t find the net.</p>

<p>The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 2. As the underdog on the puck line, Seattle failed to cover.</p><p>Seattle's offense was held scoreless in their 2-0 loss to Boston, despite firing 23 shots on goal. The Kraken struggled with giveaways, tallying 19 in the game.</p> <p>They were shut out for the first time this season and failed to score in any period, including the first, where Boston took a 2-0 lead.</p><p>Seattle's defense gave up two early goals to Boston, both in the first period. The first came just 3:23 into the game, and the second at the 10:03 mark. However, they kept the Bruins off the scoreboard after that. Goalie Joey Daccord made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Defensively, the Kraken had 4 takeaways and 18 hits.</p>

Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken Betting Pick & Prediction 11/14/24

<p>Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Cougars versus the Huskies? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on PACN. The game will be played at Alaska Airlines Arena in Seattle, WA. Washington State is favored by -1 in this Pac-12 conference contest against Washington. The game's over/under currently sits at 148.5 points.</p><h3>WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS VS WASHINGTON HUSKIES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Washington Huskies +1</p><p>This game will be played at Alaska Airlines Arena at 9:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE WASHINGTON HUSKIES:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Huskies.</li><li>Not only will Washington pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.</li></ul><h3>Will the Cougars Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?</h3><p>The Washington State Cougars come into this game with a 15-6 overall record, including a 6-4 mark in Pac-12 play. They have won two straight games, and their record as the favorite this season is 12-3.</p>

<p>On the road, the Cougars have gone just 2-3, and their average scoring margin is -2.6 points per game. In their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5.</p><p>Against the spread, Washington State has gone 10-10-1 this season. On the road, they are 2-2-1 vs. the spread and 4-5-1 in their last 10 road games. As the favorite, the Cougars are 7-8 ATS this year and 4-6 in their last 10 games as the favorite.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Washington State's games this season (141.5). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 146 points.</p><p>The Washington State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Colorado. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.2% while connecting on 6 threes. Leading Washington State in scoring vs. Colorado was Jaylen Wells with his 17 points. Myles Rice also added 17 points for the Cougars.</p><p>So far this season, the Washington State defense has been performing well, ranking 62nd in the country at 66.9 points allowed per contest. So far, the Washington State defense is giving up an average of 7.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (398th).</p><h3>Will Washington Find a Way to Win at Home?</h3><p>Washington will be the underdog in this Pac-12 matchup, as they have gone 3-7 as the underdog this season. At home, the Huskies have gone 10-4 and have a scoring margin of +8.9 points per game.</p>

<p>Washington is coming off a 98-73 win over Utah. Over their last ten games, the Huskies have gone 7-3 at home.</p><p>As the underdog this season, Washington has gone 6-4 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is 7-7 this year and they are 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 games at home.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Washington's games this season (151.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 173 points.</p><p>Washington is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 98 points vs. Utah. This figure is more than their season average of 81.1 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Keion Brooks Jr. with 27 points. Paul Mulcahy also added 18 points for the Huskies.</p><p>Coming into the game, Washington will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 76.7 points per game (263rd). On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Washington State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.8%.</p>

Washington State Cougars vs Washington Huskies Betting Pick & Prediction 2/3/24